Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ad4mse7en0x9fc2…5723 | Yes | 2,804 | 60.4¢ | $2K | — |
| PamBondiBonds0xbcf3…9d88 | Yes | 1,795 | 57.2¢ | $1.28K | New8 settled bets |
| zctrading0x7e5b…e00b | Yes | 1,331 | 72.9¢ | $952 | New27 settled bets |
| JackMoneyEth0x2fa8…e1f5 | Yes | 1,020 | 63.9¢ | $729 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 2,055 | 42.7¢ | $586 | — |
| adenakoz10xb615…73cf | Yes | 786 | 57.0¢ | $562 | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 1,988 bets |
| brunocinelli0xc764…5176 | Yes | 760 | 66.7¢ | $543 | — |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 555 | 64.6¢ | $397 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 383 | 70.7¢ | $274 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,681 bets |
| kwentsu0x050b…5c0a | Yes | 320 | 72.7¢ | $229 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 736 | 40.8¢ | $210 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 709 | 43.0¢ | $202 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,432 bets |
| 0x7815…4f03 | Yes | 272 | 53.2¢ | $195 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 258 | 51.0¢ | $185 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 250 | 69.3¢ | $179 | — |
| shyqa0000x0b57…5975 | Yes | 249 | 67.4¢ | $178 | — |
| pgmat0xd534…be5c | No | 601 | 52.4¢ | $171 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 500 | 39.6¢ | $143 | — |
| Torgal0x7916…b069 | Yes | 174 | 72.8¢ | $125 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 435 | 36.6¢ | $124 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | No | 417 | 42.9¢ | $119 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 361 | 35.8¢ | $103 | Losing−$1.44 per $100 · 58,479+ bets · updating |
| Nicolasro910x671c…e261 | Yes | 139 | 59.9¢ | $99 | — |
| 0xf5e4…471a | No | 323 | 33.4¢ | $92 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 293 | 31.0¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 77 | 66.0¢ | $55 | — |
| blobmaster0x7cbf…6c43 | Yes | 70 | 71.8¢ | $50 | — |
| chrissueco20xa59e…16c3 | Yes | 70 | 58.0¢ | $50 | — |
| 0xd829…edb4 | Yes | 68 | 55.3¢ | $48 | — |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | Yes | 67 | 46.0¢ | $48 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 60 | 62.0¢ | $43 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 147 | 38.0¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 145 | 41.0¢ | $41 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 50 | 38.0¢ | $36 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| hommage0xfd47…000f | Yes | 49 | 65.0¢ | $35 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 120 | 49.0¢ | $34 | — |
| Jibu0x91c8…d4fc | Yes | 47 | 64.9¢ | $33 | — |
| Victor7860x5e64…0f63 | Yes | 42 | 71.8¢ | $30 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 90 | 42.8¢ | $26 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| 0xa9d4…8f3e | Yes | 36 | 56.0¢ | $26 | — |
| ronetof0xc6ce…7938 | Yes | 33 | 62.3¢ | $23 | — |
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Yes | 30 | 45.0¢ | $22 | Proven+$11.67 per $100 · 470 bets |
| iguassu0xdb30…722b | Yes | 30 | 61.0¢ | $21 | — |
| kqrz0x776d…2e09 | Yes | 29 | 71.8¢ | $21 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 72 | 29.9¢ | $21 | Positive+$2.37 per $100 · 57,731+ bets · updating |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 68 | 27.0¢ | $19 | — |
| vaxastadnyk0x03f7…c0cc | Yes | 25 | 62.0¢ | $18 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 59 | 49.6¢ | $17 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0xe0c9…ef80 | Yes | 21 | 62.2¢ | $15 | — |
| marks380x1cdf…0aba | Yes | 20 | 58.0¢ | $14 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 20 | 26.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| 0x7c14…5783 | Yes | 20 | 32.9¢ | $14 | — |
| BigMoney160x94df…e399 | No | 49 | 35.9¢ | $14 | — |
| Ortolanus0x47cf…4910 | Yes | 19 | 53.0¢ | $14 | — |
| JEJElosquesaben0x846d…2135 | Yes | 18 | 57.0¢ | $13 | — |
| NoKingsFTrump0x8a47…0ff7 | Yes | 16 | 63.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x6123…8b33 | Yes | 14 | 72.8¢ | $10 | — |
| uwheeler0xf7a1…65e6 | Yes | 13 | 68.0¢ | $9 | — |
| zedamanga0xfcaa…5add | No | 28 | 72.8¢ | $8 | — |
| NotManu0x0815…1dc5 | Yes | 8 | 71.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 21 | 29.0¢ | $6 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 80.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 20 | 74.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd356…963d | No | 16 | 73.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xdd3c…a088 | No | 15 | 73.0¢ | $4 | — |
| brickzflip0xe283…3263 | Yes | 5 | 71.8¢ | $4 | — |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 5 | 56.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| Claudiaojeda0xa8e5…0ccd | Yes | 5 | 64.9¢ | $3 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | No | 12 | 34.8¢ | $3 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 31.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 38.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 56.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5af5…5fcc | Yes | 3 | 66.9¢ | $2 | — |
| bullca0xb6ed…5762 | Yes | 3 | 71.8¢ | $2 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 7 | 27.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xca30…a0b2 | No | 6 | 34.2¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 5 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| attotinparfait150xb341…7981 | No | 3 | 42.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 3 | 31.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 30.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,117 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 64.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.