Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Chance of Yes
▼ 1 pt this week
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Jan 1
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As written on Polymarket for “Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?”.
§1This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
§2Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
§3A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state.
§4Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state.
§5Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions.
§6Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
§7Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted.
§8For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect.
§9Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment.
§10Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force.
§11A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item.
§12The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify.
§13The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face.
§14A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify.
§15A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings.
§16This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date.
§17Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment.
§18The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Louisiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves Yes if Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision establishing a statewide moratorium on new data centers by the specified date.§1
Tax incentives only
Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone do not qualify; neither do local or partial-state moratoriums.§4
What counts as enactment
Enactment is when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, including signature, veto override, law without signature, or statewide…§7
Referendum timing
For an initiated or referred statute or amendment approved by voters, enactment is the election day of approval per certified results.§8
Discretionary measures
A statute merely authorizing an agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify.§14
Counted
A statewide moratorium on new data centers: a binding policy generally prohibiting or suspending approval, permitting, construction, interconnection, or…§3
Source
The primary resolution source is official information from the Louisiana state government; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§18
Closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 04:59 UTC
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.