Market · 1 of 6 outcomes
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $238K in play
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 14 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | Yes | 60,666 | 46.4¢ | $29.7K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| 0x89ad…eab4 | Yes | 32,561 | 43.0¢ | $16K | — |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 24,747 | 57.1¢ | $12.6K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| meirmenashe0xcb1c…95dc | Yes | 15,394 | 51.5¢ | $7.54K | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 255 bets |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | No | 14,493 | 56.6¢ | $7.39K | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| Eliran1150xbb19…d634 | Yes | 12,397 | 43.4¢ | $6.07K | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 6,959 | 50.8¢ | $3.41K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| 0xee32…046c | No | 5,968 | 58.1¢ | $3.04K | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | No | 5,662 | 41.3¢ | $2.89K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| dhadad010xd8fa…5580 | Yes | 5,285 | 44.8¢ | $2.59K | Positive+$6.51 per $100 · 183 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 4,577 | 51.5¢ | $2.33K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | No | 4,500 | 61.0¢ | $2.29K | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | No | 4,260 | 57.3¢ | $2.17K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | No | 4,000 | 59.0¢ | $2.04K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 3,700 | 56.7¢ | $1.89K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| TrojanRabbit0x11a2…17ae | Yes | 3,151 | 43.9¢ | $1.54K | — |
| hideo0x95bf…e00b | No | 2,676 | 39.7¢ | $1.36K | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 384 bets |
| Humble-Monk0x2200…0f2d | No | 2,672 | 46.1¢ | $1.36K | Proven+$5.72 per $100 · 965 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 2,589 | 55.8¢ | $1.32K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 2,500 | 54.1¢ | $1.27K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| Glicha0x91ff…8f40 | Yes | 2,601 | 47.6¢ | $1.27K | — |
| 0x63c4…4671 | Yes | 2,098 | 45.0¢ | $1.03K | New81 settled bets |
| 0xa27a…4a29 | Yes | 1,989 | 43.1¢ | $975 | — |
| Yossi.naveh10x1d50…0fe3 | No | 1,655 | 59.0¢ | $844 | — |
| 0x0745…4a1b | Yes | 1,428 | 51.2¢ | $700 | New98 settled bets |
| Oriya1230x19f2…0121 | Yes | 1,426 | 39.8¢ | $699 | New0 settled bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 1,195 | 45.5¢ | $609 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0x7f0f…1733 | Yes | 1,207 | 43.2¢ | $591 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 1,018 | 50.3¢ | $519 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 7,403 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 1,018 | 55.9¢ | $519 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| MaxShorter0x3c7b…5485 | No | 1,000 | 46.0¢ | $510 | Positive+$3.40 per $100 · 151 bets |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | Yes | 1,032 | 25.0¢ | $505 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| TheJewishHammer0x2cc1…3e21 | Yes | 1,004 | 31.9¢ | $492 | — |
| Delta1410x7c4e…6cad | Yes | 952 | 43.0¢ | $467 | — |
| 0x3564…5cff | No | 841 | 59.5¢ | $429 | New64 settled bets |
| 542ga0x1fb8…31c2 | Yes | 721 | 54.0¢ | $353 | — |
| ChainReaction-3920x1f5a…1d35 | Yes | 713 | 36.9¢ | $350 | Proven+$13.99 per $100 · 176 bets |
| 0x452f…a25b | Yes | 693 | 37.9¢ | $340 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 600 | 57.0¢ | $306 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| givol0x391e…ec9a | No | 583 | 53.0¢ | $297 | — |
| Jahnoon0x68bf…459f | Yes | 600 | 45.0¢ | $294 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 578 | 26.5¢ | $283 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 537 | 42.1¢ | $274 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| 0xf114…1f0a | Yes | 541 | 40.8¢ | $265 | — |
| LAURENTSHLOMO0x96e5…9c21 | Yes | 513 | 40.0¢ | $251 | — |
| 0xd33f…8cd5 | Yes | 509 | 48.9¢ | $249 | — |
| oristones0x9285…359c | No | 474 | 48.3¢ | $242 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 459 | 44.4¢ | $234 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| 0xec16…937b | No | 459 | 53.9¢ | $234 | — |
| Mgazit19570x9789…7c95 | Yes | 462 | 40.0¢ | $226 | — |
| AYTLS0x6c92…9627 | Yes | 452 | 40.8¢ | $221 | Losing−$3.79 per $100 · 254 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 400 | 58.0¢ | $204 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 400 | 62.0¢ | $204 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| 0x4ddd…0355 | No | 385 | 53.0¢ | $196 | — |
| zakhiyasatou0xdeed…942e | No | 370 | 50.8¢ | $188 | — |
| omsode0x82bd…335e | Yes | 371 | 51.4¢ | $182 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 146 bets |
| 0xf2fd…75cd | Yes | 362 | 56.2¢ | $178 | — |
| ronaldk0x09e2…29de | No | 334 | 67.7¢ | $170 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 345 | 45.6¢ | $169 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| danikonsens0x51a2…051b | No | 317 | 42.0¢ | $162 | — |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 316 | 48.4¢ | $161 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 5,584 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 296 | 43.0¢ | $151 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| alexanderlox0xc543…546f | Yes | 295 | 68.6¢ | $145 | — |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | No | 275 | 54.0¢ | $140 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| 0xb4d1…4c60 | No | 275 | 49.0¢ | $140 | New79 settled bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 270 | 47.3¢ | $138 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 271 | 50.1¢ | $133 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 245 | 40.8¢ | $125 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| 92931821020xc8a0…44a0 | No | 239 | 43.9¢ | $122 | — |
| BigFishHunter0x75dc…698e | No | 220 | 62.3¢ | $112 | New86 settled bets |
| Igal0xe1f5…71a9 | Yes | 228 | 44.0¢ | $112 | — |
| 0x93c6…b682 | Yes | 222 | 56.3¢ | $109 | — |
| enswyaz0xf2ca…49b3 | Yes | 220 | 46.5¢ | $108 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 206 | 50.0¢ | $105 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| eqzwe103qwie0x38a5…e97f | No | 205 | 51.9¢ | $105 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 473 bets |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | No | 200 | 49.0¢ | $102 | Proven+$12.29 per $100 · 3,032 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 207 | 1.9¢ | $101 | — |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | No | 180 | 48.0¢ | $92 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 454 bets |
| 0x273b…62d4 | Yes | 185 | 54.0¢ | $91 | — |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | Yes | 180 | 34.3¢ | $88 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,111 bets |
| O-D0xae70…f486 | No | 169 | 60.0¢ | $86 | — |
| 0x92ef…c9cf | Yes | 173 | 58.7¢ | $85 | — |
| sleepylemur0x38e8…4275 | No | 166 | 46.8¢ | $85 | New10 settled bets |
| numerology0xabd3…637f | No | 164 | 64.4¢ | $84 | — |
| webot-ai0xc2a5…0ce9 | No | 160 | 51.0¢ | $82 | New25 settled bets |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 156 | 53.0¢ | $80 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 150 | 52.3¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 6,486 bets |
| asterley0xe762…064b | No | 140 | 51.0¢ | $71 | — |
| 0xe004…7849 | Yes | 145 | 34.9¢ | $71 | — |
| arong330x345e…2b85 | Yes | 132 | 41.1¢ | $65 | — |
| Mozes-rubin0xa412…f60a | Yes | 132 | 38.9¢ | $64 | — |
| 0xa22f…3573 | Yes | 120 | 60.0¢ | $59 | — |
| Alondani19740x5b9d…f38d | Yes | 120 | 39.6¢ | $59 | — |
| meirs0x16f1…df3f | Yes | 118 | 43.3¢ | $58 | — |
| haimshor0xb26a…c542 | Yes | 115 | 41.0¢ | $57 | — |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 115 | 61.7¢ | $56 | — |
| 0xca8c…af9b | Yes | 113 | 45.1¢ | $56 | — |
| 0x6ec0…b3d0 | Yes | 113 | 54.3¢ | $55 | — |
| aLomorah0xaa05…fed7 | Yes | 106 | 66.9¢ | $52 | — |
| asitiet0x8cc5…f5e1 | Yes | 100 | 53.0¢ | $49 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.