Market · 13 of 15 outcomes
Will Likud win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 20:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
3 more outcomes in this event.
These 15 outcomes add up to 140.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 95.2¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,457 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 74 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,173 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 31 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 102cats0x40f2…a57c | Yes | 23 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.