Market · 3 of 22 outcomes
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd29d…b038 | No | 100 | 91.8¢ | $91 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 170 | 9.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 150 | 1.6¢ | $14 | New0 settled bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 15 | 98.8¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 15 | 90.6¢ | $14 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 144 | 8.1¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 106.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.