Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | No | 3,942 | 85.0¢ | $3.93K | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 17,498 bets |
| EmbraceChaos0x10fa…a4bd | No | 3,109 | 86.6¢ | $3.1K | — |
| BFivePol0x2f9f…aa6e | No | 2,235 | 88.4¢ | $2.23K | — |
| grjyt75eryt654ter0x42aa…1dc7 | No | 1,107 | 99.4¢ | $1.1K | — |
| KarlvonLupo0x49b6…a8ab | No | 1,073 | 88.4¢ | $1.07K | — |
| Patek1410x38a2…0b48 | No | 1,000 | 87.0¢ | $997 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 817 | 95.4¢ | $815 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| 0x46ee…ae61 | Yes | 235,645 | 3.2¢ | $589 | Losing−$15.50 per $100 · 168 bets |
| rwcoffee0xd8c1…16c0 | No | 478 | 87.6¢ | $477 | Losing−$18.99 per $100 · 605 bets |
| 0x65a7…a216 | No | 411 | 89.5¢ | $410 | — |
| gnh0500k78t6t0x90d6…1753 | No | 389 | 90.2¢ | $388 | — |
| johnjdj0x8bc0…47e5 | No | 261 | 89.3¢ | $260 | — |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 157 | 95.9¢ | $156 | — |
| 0x13a5…f651 | No | 144 | 99.2¢ | $144 | — |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | No | 140 | 94.7¢ | $140 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,667 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 52,789 | 6.4¢ | $132 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| 0x9c3d…810d | No | 124 | 99.0¢ | $123 | — |
| 0x83ac…bbca | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $121 | — |
| 0x080b…56a8 | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $121 | — |
| 0xdfad…10ec | No | 120 | 99.4¢ | $120 | — |
| 0xe8c1…4c6b | No | 119 | 99.0¢ | $119 | — |
| 0x17e6…b5c1 | No | 117 | 99.0¢ | $117 | — |
| 0xa4b0…ccf8 | No | 116 | 99.0¢ | $116 | — |
| 0xfb66…21e7 | No | 116 | 99.0¢ | $115 | — |
| Petriwin0x6431…cfa5 | No | 100 | 98.4¢ | $100 | — |
| FelipeMG0x8b4f…f206 | No | 100 | 87.7¢ | $100 | — |
| 19591ZHZ0x77f1…91bd | Yes | 38,028 | 10.6¢ | $95 | — |
| Waluig10x8cf4…5608 | No | 91 | 95.7¢ | $91 | — |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 90 | 91.0¢ | $90 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| saintaphextwin0xb10b…0b04 | Yes | 34,892 | 11.6¢ | $87 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 1,275 bets |
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | Yes | 30,360 | 10.8¢ | $76 | Proven+$3.86 per $100 · 468 bets |
| zhqzhq0xac71…0b92 | Yes | 28,509 | 3.5¢ | $71 | New47 settled bets |
| ijae0xf366…15ad | No | 66 | 89.5¢ | $66 | Losing−$15.13 per $100 · 281 bets |
| b504940xa7ef…2cfb | No | 65 | 89.7¢ | $65 | — |
| AhHoi0x43a0…0d5c | No | 60 | 90.0¢ | $60 | — |
| 489Ba70xe49c…a234 | No | 60 | 89.8¢ | $60 | — |
| e1f22a0x7977…1d5e | No | 58 | 90.6¢ | $58 | — |
| JohnnyBlaze10xbccb…31e2 | Yes | 22,610 | 1.6¢ | $57 | — |
| AEEB320xd1de…38cc | No | 56 | 89.6¢ | $56 | — |
| BABYLON-0410xa9a9…522a | No | 52 | 95.7¢ | $52 | — |
| Cyberflems0x49c4…bf77 | No | 51 | 90.5¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,433 bets |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 50 | 85.6¢ | $50 | — |
| Panosenko0xa3e8…437c | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| galvindaly0xe112…15e5 | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | $50 | — |
| 590fe00xed6e…f269 | No | 42 | 89.8¢ | $42 | — |
| 0xfdf4…9880 | Yes | 16,347 | 4.6¢ | $41 | — |
| SickandTired0x290d…dc40 | No | 40 | 86.5¢ | $40 | — |
| GeraldoND0xefe1…c57f | Yes | 15,647 | 0.6¢ | $39 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 15,535 | 11.4¢ | $39 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| 47513460x6dd6…f5f4 | No | 37 | 89.4¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 3,383 bets |
| chamuel0xc130…83f7 | Yes | 13,539 | 4.7¢ | $34 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 13,508 | 11.4¢ | $34 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| SwingsofTrend0x366c…6578 | Yes | 13,170 | 3.3¢ | $33 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 895 bets |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | No | 32 | 93.0¢ | $32 | — |
| bodi0x7de6…9b47 | No | 32 | 94.5¢ | $32 | — |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 12,627 | 7.3¢ | $32 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| seye50x32bb…1cfd | No | 31 | 98.6¢ | $31 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 11,899 | 0.7¢ | $30 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0xdf34…6635 | No | 30 | 97.6¢ | $30 | — |
| OpheliaPolly0x3662…f01a | No | 29 | 96.9¢ | $29 | — |
| Fd6530xdb79…b37f | Yes | 10,649 | 14.1¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 10,615 | 1.4¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,524 bets |
| eros140xa509…40be | Yes | 10,529 | 5.8¢ | $26 | — |
| TERINNHW0xca51…ec16 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 10,138 | 3.2¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| Lemon20260x6e0a…db34 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.6¢ | $25 | — |
| H07150x0d81…b7bd | Yes | 9,831 | 4.5¢ | $25 | — |
| LTGY0xe1d2…c23c | Yes | 9,795 | 1.6¢ | $24 | — |
| ineedanoutfitletsgo0x5bbc…0c54 | No | 24 | 88.4¢ | $24 | — |
| 1e6x0xda2e…6c83 | Yes | 7,833 | 3.3¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.65 per $100 · 116 bets |
| hereticprayers0x4ecb…514c | Yes | 7,800 | 5.9¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 350 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 7,618 | 4.6¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 7,294 | 0.6¢ | $18 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| IvanShepa0x5c96…6577 | Yes | 7,276 | 3.4¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x10f9…2bc5 | Yes | 6,750 | 5.2¢ | $17 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 6,686 | 3.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| 0x50d8…d896 | Yes | 6,024 | 8.3¢ | $15 | New29 settled bets |
| 0x87a8…ff2d | Yes | 6,000 | 2.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 5,935 | 8.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 5,782 | 10.4¢ | $14 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| Get100x904f…50c6 | Yes | 5,530 | 5.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 5,160 | 7.8¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 5,114 | 0.4¢ | $13 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| charlioM0x3eb1…a0eb | Yes | 4,528 | 4.1¢ | $11 | — |
| NNNHK0xb623…476d | Yes | 4,218 | 6.2¢ | $11 | — |
| fedorovPVO0x93a0…74de | Yes | 4,201 | 8.6¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.49 per $100 · 443 bets |
| tarla0xcbf1…8f6a | Yes | 4,098 | 9.7¢ | $10 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 4,078 | 2.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| 0xa82c…dd71 | Yes | 4,000 | 14.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$11.94 per $100 · 154 bets |
| 0xa24d…6f2a | Yes | 3,974 | 15.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Selasito0x171c…f0a0 | Yes | 3,689 | 6.6¢ | $9 | Losing−$17.66 per $100 · 115 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 3,684 | 7.4¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| 0xbde7…9bff | Yes | 3,555 | 10.7¢ | $9 | — |
| RoadtoSanary0x4e94…41b6 | Yes | 3,314 | 10.7¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.41 per $100 · 243 bets |
| 0x1f49…7ce8 | Yes | 3,200 | 4.7¢ | $8 | — |
| Raed19900x8e29…9cf8 | Yes | 3,116 | 2.4¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 3,113 | 2.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$17.28 per $100 · 7,289 bets |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | Yes | 28 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x50e8…3791 | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.