Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 4,950 | 75.0¢ | $2.7K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,042 bets |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | No | 4,216 | 33.6¢ | $1.92K | — |
| megaforest0xe172…e8e0 | Yes | 3,504 | 56.4¢ | $1.91K | New64 settled bets |
| yypower0xb313…1ce7 | No | 3,734 | 22.4¢ | $1.7K | — |
| marchonnow0xfc04…4f75 | Yes | 2,535 | 61.9¢ | $1.38K | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 196 bets |
| december0xf910…7467 | Yes | 2,000 | 77.0¢ | $1.09K | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,718 | 63.7¢ | $936 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | Yes | 1,535 | 54.2¢ | $836 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 979 | 54.3¢ | $534 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| YLC6120xdfde…7838 | Yes | 974 | 61.4¢ | $531 | — |
| pie0x90ea…33ce | Yes | 871 | 59.0¢ | $475 | — |
| 0x9576…3d6b | Yes | 775 | 79.0¢ | $422 | — |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | Yes | 666 | 49.0¢ | $363 | — |
| Kutata0x64e3…4501 | Yes | 666 | 74.4¢ | $363 | — |
| ChiangWan-an0x0d5e…5c24 | Yes | 597 | 57.1¢ | $325 | — |
| 0x2b42…62af | Yes | 580 | 54.3¢ | $316 | — |
| Tingo20260xc1d3…0d96 | Yes | 561 | 66.0¢ | $306 | — |
| worknplay0x4201…6133 | Yes | 500 | 62.0¢ | $273 | Losing−$55.27 per $100 · 124 bets |
| tengentoppa0xa93e…0a8c | Yes | 500 | 68.0¢ | $272 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 460 | 61.6¢ | $251 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 401 | 57.2¢ | $218 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0x0eba…eeed | Yes | 345 | 59.3¢ | $188 | — |
| 0x7fd5…b12a | No | 370 | 27.8¢ | $168 | — |
| Shiraikuroko0xea52…ea25 | Yes | 276 | 66.1¢ | $150 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 267 | 58.8¢ | $146 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| .i.0xffdf…67f6 | Yes | 248 | 62.8¢ | $135 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 280 | 42.0¢ | $128 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0xd16c…8d72 | Yes | 231 | 67.3¢ | $126 | — |
| SuckMyDicck0x07e1…9010 | Yes | 200 | 51.0¢ | $109 | — |
| 0xb9b8…38b6 | No | 225 | 32.0¢ | $102 | — |
| 0x6dde…a579 | Yes | 171 | 58.2¢ | $93 | — |
| BlancHK0x2249…8847 | No | 200 | 25.0¢ | $91 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 140 | 48.7¢ | $76 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | Yes | 132 | 67.0¢ | $72 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 4,295 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 156 | 21.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 112 | 57.2¢ | $61 | — |
| YangYuxiang0x5937…2100 | Yes | 112 | 66.9¢ | $61 | — |
| Guderianlee0xe404…10a4 | Yes | 109 | 73.9¢ | $60 | — |
| NyaMeow0x1543…4dba | Yes | 100 | 80.0¢ | $55 | — |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 90 | 53.3¢ | $49 | — |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | Yes | 87 | 58.1¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 100 | 42.0¢ | $46 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| bountyhunter0010x54d6…ef35 | Yes | 83 | 61.0¢ | $45 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 94 | 41.4¢ | $43 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 93 | 50.0¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x6604…894d | Yes | 76 | 58.6¢ | $41 | — |
| YanhuanEric0xb793…bae4 | Yes | 76 | 66.9¢ | $41 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 892 bets |
| 0x27e1…8ec1 | Yes | 75 | 81.0¢ | $41 | — |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | No | 82 | 40.2¢ | $37 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 73 | 45.4¢ | $33 | — |
| xfjrj0xc3e4…b0ab | Yes | 60 | 70.0¢ | $33 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 60 | 76.8¢ | $33 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x89ea…6063 | Yes | 57 | 54.0¢ | $31 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 61 | 49.0¢ | $28 | — |
| zgcj0x0169…0096 | Yes | 45 | 59.2¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x60a5…f52e | Yes | 44 | 68.9¢ | $24 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 51 | 38.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 40 | 46.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| ramseypatricia0xad6e…0c03 | Yes | 30 | 59.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 30 | 64.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 42.0¢ | $16 | — |
| dandawo0xc151…7634 | Yes | 26 | 61.7¢ | $14 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 24 | 51.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 74.0¢ | $11 | — |
| infoowl0xbeb1…2630 | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x1a8f…2cd1 | No | 21 | 44.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.66 per $100 · 635 bets |
| 0xa1c7…bdbb | No | 20 | 45.3¢ | $9 | New83 settled bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 20 | 23.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 39.0¢ | $5 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $5 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 43.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 39.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | No | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 52.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 41.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 41.0¢ | $5 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $5 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 45.5¢ | $4 | — |
| JaneRibeira0x38bb…e3e8 | No | 9 | 42.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 8 | 34.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 6 | 20.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 51.0¢ | $2 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | No | 2 | 29.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1 | 46.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| prjjfb340xfd99…b908 | No | 1 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | No | 0 | 51.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | No | 0 | 41.3¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 46.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | No | 0 | 46.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| AllyouneedisClaude0x4708…9580 | No | 0 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.