Market · 44 of 46 outcomes
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 05:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 1,361 | 91.4¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 166 | 95.3¢ | $161 | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 351 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 154 | 96.6¢ | $149 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,062 bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 100 | 97.0¢ | $97 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | No | 99 | 81.6¢ | $96 | — |
| muhammed671gamez0x92e3…e820 | No | 78 | 96.6¢ | $75 | — |
| Kostik0x8ab7…f4dd | No | 65 | 96.6¢ | $63 | — |
| elisabetmaral0x37d5…31c3 | No | 50 | 97.0¢ | $48 | New40 settled bets |
| 5dcheckmate0x2cd1…ab90 | No | 47 | 96.6¢ | $45 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 41 | 95.7¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| tuhlodirikpp0xee90…8386 | No | 38 | 96.6¢ | $36 | — |
| rondon890x2177…3fb4 | No | 36 | 92.4¢ | $35 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 226 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 980 | 10.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Nenels0x5d10…b5e7 | No | 11 | 90.4¢ | $11 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 296 | 3.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 10 | 89.4¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 273 | 11.4¢ | $9 | New39 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 254 | 3.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| 0xc24f…220b | No | 8 | 92.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 8 | 93.3¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | No | 6 | 92.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 165 | 4.0¢ | $6 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 141 | 3.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 5 | 96.1¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 131,953 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 3 | 93.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 55 | 6.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 52 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| areola0xafae…4b33 | No | 1 | 96.5¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x621a…c6b1 | Yes | 22 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xde2e…d234 | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 18 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
| darkestpool0x1044…8ceb | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 2 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 134,976+ bets · updating |
| sla12640xbcdb…87d9 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.