Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WholeFawn12780x2a97…7cad | No | 4,090 | 89.2¢ | $3.73K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 116 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 3,027 | 89.4¢ | $2.76K | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 2,208 | 89.8¢ | $2.02K | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 930 bets |
| mantre0xfb64…5e23 | Yes | 9,850 | 10.5¢ | $862 | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 660 bets |
| TimSheHe0xf006…bb6c | No | 667 | 94.6¢ | $608 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 653 | 86.6¢ | $595 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | No | 499 | 84.8¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 6,893 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 497 | 89.7¢ | $454 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,150 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 4,379 | 14.3¢ | $383 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | No | 355 | 89.8¢ | $324 | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 6,282 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 2,438 | 19.7¢ | $213 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 168 | 93.4¢ | $153 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 145 | 84.0¢ | $132 | — |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | No | 110 | 91.8¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,185 bets |
| aodueh0x6435…e868 | Yes | 812 | 5.7¢ | $71 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 1,331 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 57 | 83.0¢ | $52 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 51 | 95.5¢ | $46 | — |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 33 | 84.0¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| tylerpredict0xb5c7…f2c1 | No | 32 | 86.4¢ | $29 | New40 settled bets |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | Yes | 323 | 11.2¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 91.5¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| dsadssss0xa7b5…ca2d | Yes | 282 | 5.9¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x8fb7…5401 | No | 21 | 95.2¢ | $19 | — |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 20 | 91.3¢ | $18 | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,299 bets |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | Yes | 164 | 11.4¢ | $14 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 16 | 87.2¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 145 | 18.5¢ | $13 | New0 settled bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 115 | 2.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 10 | 91.3¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | 74 | 14.0¢ | $6 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | No | 7 | 97.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Peakotop0xc7be…eaab | Yes | 58 | 14.1¢ | $5 | — |
| gemfinder0xa88b…be91 | Yes | 54 | 8.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 41 | 6.3¢ | $4 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 4 | 81.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Grinder7770x3613…59c6 | Yes | 29 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.56 per $100 · 974 bets |
| 0x29f0…b56f | No | 3 | 86.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa72c…a78c | No | 1 | 86.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xMIX0xe179…b701 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 5 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 5 | 7.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ga4p0x1d69…7a63 | Yes | 5 | 15.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 3 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,549 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,980 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 2 | 15.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0xf22b…7eab | No | 0 | 86.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cornishon10xd990…749e | Yes | 1 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 85.4¢ | $0 | — |
| kuasuo0x06dc…32b7 | No | 0 | 86.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 275 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 1 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 86.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 84.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.