Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fwed330x1461…30a1 | No | 5,965 | 92.6¢ | $5.95K | Losing−$8.44 per $100 · 1,900 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 1,122 | 98.4¢ | $1.12K | Losing−$7.03 per $100 · 15,917 bets |
| updategogoing0x7fd9…1fd8 | No | 490 | 90.1¢ | $489 | — |
| 0x46ee…ae61 | Yes | 158,151 | 1.7¢ | $395 | Losing−$15.50 per $100 · 168 bets |
| bmoan0x32d0…6070 | No | 365 | 96.8¢ | $364 | — |
| zzaqq20xd331…733c | No | 338 | 89.9¢ | $337 | Losing−$9.72 per $100 · 4,328 bets |
| MetamaskII0xe69d…a199 | No | 336 | 97.0¢ | $335 | New29 settled bets |
| 0x000c…bcf3 | Yes | 114,748 | 3.3¢ | $287 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 409 bets |
| oilboil0xb222…fe5b | No | 252 | 99.4¢ | $251 | — |
| botpromark0x8482…07d4 | Yes | 87,093 | 8.1¢ | $218 | — |
| 0x85b8…c84d | No | 209 | 90.5¢ | $209 | — |
| pmverygood0x7f0f…cb20 | No | 205 | 91.1¢ | $204 | — |
| Nooserac0xf68a…5b1b | Yes | 67,919 | 0.9¢ | $170 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 17,553 bets |
| 0xd8d8…3c53 | No | 112 | 99.2¢ | $111 | — |
| 0x6447…bacc | No | 110 | 99.3¢ | $110 | — |
| masturbator30000x59e4…c67b | No | 110 | 95.0¢ | $110 | Losing−$1.78 per $100 · 548 bets |
| 0x98aa…f647 | No | 109 | 99.3¢ | $109 | — |
| AllesClean0x2305…1612 | No | 109 | 92.3¢ | $108 | — |
| degentraveler0xa2d7…6b74 | Yes | 42,074 | 2.3¢ | $105 | — |
| TradingWave0xf49c…9786 | Yes | 41,941 | 11.0¢ | $105 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 396 bets |
| Gr33d0x4b74…e8d7 | No | 104 | 97.2¢ | $104 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 4,685 bets |
| DickTurbin0xb6be…fcfe | Yes | 40,521 | 12.1¢ | $101 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 5,486 bets |
| emailpmailgmail0x5c5a…0296 | No | 100 | 93.2¢ | $100 | — |
| TB140xae2b…90ea | Yes | 34,820 | 9.6¢ | $87 | Losing−$18.45 per $100 · 890 bets |
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | Yes | 29,385 | 7.2¢ | $73 | Proven+$3.86 per $100 · 468 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 27,330 | 4.8¢ | $68 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 26,110 | 0.5¢ | $65 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| 51lemons0xa51c…db68 | Yes | 25,000 | 5.2¢ | $62 | — |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | Yes | 22,583 | 9.1¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| ichtoviotmenyagotite0x6f63…654e | No | 56 | 97.2¢ | $56 | — |
| C97B770xaccf…f9ef | No | 55 | 90.0¢ | $55 | — |
| SwingsofTrend0x366c…6578 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $50 | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 895 bets |
| hopkinson9990xed00…f47a | No | 50 | 97.2¢ | $50 | — |
| 1245850x4e0c…733a | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | — |
| galvindaly0xe112…15e5 | No | 50 | 97.0¢ | $50 | — |
| Lukaperdole0xe659…5204 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | — |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 50 | 85.5¢ | $50 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 46 | 99.8¢ | $46 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Dragonslayer6660xd500…4568 | Yes | 17,236 | 3.3¢ | $43 | — |
| kirillfome0x682a…92c8 | No | 42 | 97.2¢ | $42 | — |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 42 | 96.6¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 41 | 96.6¢ | $41 | — |
| DavidTrezeguet0xc88e…f3e1 | Yes | 16,378 | 10.3¢ | $41 | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 651 bets |
| Selasito0x171c…f0a0 | Yes | 15,750 | 4.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$17.66 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0xce27…be1c | No | 39 | 97.6¢ | $39 | — |
| moxig0xeb8a…3864 | No | 38 | 88.5¢ | $38 | — |
| Rodri335560x0db2…a666 | No | 34 | 88.8¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x627b…58e7 | No | 32 | 97.1¢ | $32 | — |
| DedricHoeger0x6a21…d913 | No | 31 | 97.2¢ | $31 | — |
| MRSpectrum0x7de6…1230 | No | 31 | 84.0¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xdf34…6635 | No | 30 | 84.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x64ca…5ed2 | No | 28 | 96.7¢ | $28 | — |
| ff97950x56ff…f893 | Yes | 9,935 | 10.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xc9c8…44fb | Yes | 9,917 | 2.7¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 1,108 bets |
| Raed19900x8e29…9cf8 | Yes | 9,500 | 6.4¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x4c06…5599 | No | 22 | 97.1¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x51a4…02d6 | No | 21 | 97.4¢ | $20 | — |
| Batatabet0x0889…45a9 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x3bfa…69ed | No | 19 | 97.5¢ | $19 | — |
| SabinaFelix0xecba…c58c | No | 19 | 97.4¢ | $19 | — |
| daiquiri0x1237…f312 | No | 18 | 87.7¢ | $18 | — |
| ColtonEnzo0x64e2…152c | No | 15 | 97.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xa65a…4e31 | No | 14 | 98.5¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 5,342 | 1.9¢ | $13 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| JohnnyBlaze10xbccb…31e2 | Yes | 4,737 | 3.8¢ | $12 | — |
| Albertos10x95cb…f8f7 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 4,677 | 3.8¢ | $12 | — |
| Skye76760x4dbb…f188 | No | 11 | 88.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Roy40350xcd8a…b229 | No | 11 | 99.8¢ | $11 | — |
| layagv987760xc404…2193 | No | 11 | 90.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Astro770x83d4…c5ff | Yes | 4,400 | 2.5¢ | $11 | — |
| MaxVerstappen4238970x525a…4461 | Yes | 4,227 | 4.4¢ | $11 | New1 settled bet |
| Mary17810x3127…1e94 | No | 11 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| R0ndog0x76dc…17b4 | Yes | 3,807 | 3.4¢ | $10 | Proven+$5.86 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 3,664 | 2.5¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| AJ198519850x8c82…4e09 | Yes | 3,585 | 5.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 206 bets |
| Grinder7770x3613…59c6 | Yes | 3,481 | 0.5¢ | $9 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,354 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| bdr20xb54a…c622 | Yes | 3,200 | 2.4¢ | $8 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 3,066 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Lemon20260x6e0a…db34 | Yes | 3,000 | 2.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Rentabar0xf802…d91d | Yes | 2,926 | 10.9¢ | $7 | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 2,915 | 3.6¢ | $7 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 2,725 | 11.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,307 bets |
| zdenek10x6f8f…722b | Yes | 2,702 | 2.2¢ | $7 | — |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 2,483 | 3.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| lazcrypt0x4343…8aff | Yes | 2,438 | 11.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x87a8…ff2d | Yes | 2,400 | 2.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x50e8…3791 | No | 5 | 98.0¢ | $5 | — |
| celery-cactus0x0c72…a042 | Yes | 2,000 | 11.4¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 194 bets |
| hitman19490x7f1a…d191 | Yes | 1,985 | 11.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Dawgstyle0xe7fd…4464 | Yes | 1,964 | 2.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14 | Yes | 1,855 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 2,393 bets |
| MajoriT0x8c76…06ac | Yes | 1,730 | 11.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.69 per $100 · 470 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,688 | 3.2¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| alxinv330x064f…e6b8 | Yes | 1,673 | 0.0¢ | $4 | — |
| captfantastic0x30d2…cfcc | Yes | 1,662 | 3.0¢ | $4 | — |
| mrSig0x2556…4222 | Yes | 1,655 | 2.4¢ | $4 | — |
| OutrageousKev0x196c…df7a | Yes | 1,634 | 4.7¢ | $4 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.