Market · 2 of 19 outcomes
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| degenxbt100x8b42…063e | No | 80,628 | 44.5¢ | $57.4K | New18 settled bets |
| 0xa694…ab37 | Yes | 171,008 | 32.7¢ | $49.3K | New5 settled bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | Yes | 78,494 | 29.9¢ | $22.6K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| euro-catcher0xc2e5…b3a5 | Yes | 67,592 | 29.9¢ | $19.5K | Losing−$4.50 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| ahvgsyr0xab18…60b5 | No | 26,930 | 45.3¢ | $19.2K | New2 settled bets |
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | Yes | 55,800 | 30.9¢ | $16.1K | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| Dropper0x6bab…1292 | No | 21,898 | 64.4¢ | $15.6K | Proven+$4.27 per $100 · 2,262 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 53,716 | 7.0¢ | $15.5K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| Kimoo770x39bc…28e9 | Yes | 46,720 | 18.9¢ | $13.5K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x26AF70xaf3f…b43e | No | 18,627 | 58.1¢ | $13.3K | New1 settled bet |
| surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8 | Yes | 41,749 | 26.3¢ | $12K | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 697 bets |
| ivantoney0x2616…c6aa | No | 16,611 | 54.0¢ | $11.8K | New13 settled bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 39,947 | 40.5¢ | $11.5K | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| cubarsipau0x6c8d…fbc4 | No | 14,150 | 53.1¢ | $10.1K | New0 settled bets |
| sfedk0xee97…11e9 | Yes | 32,552 | 46.2¢ | $9.39K | New5 settled bets |
| TradingWave0xf49c…9786 | Yes | 32,204 | 47.5¢ | $9.29K | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 396 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | Yes | 32,107 | 18.4¢ | $9.26K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,520 bets |
| bc7g0x6df1…ea12 | Yes | 31,554 | 52.0¢ | $9.1K | Proven+$3.71 per $100 · 273 bets |
| yupiiiiiiiii0x44a1…bd21 | Yes | 31,256 | 43.3¢ | $9.02K | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| vit2360xbdf9…e07f | Yes | 29,798 | 34.8¢ | $8.6K | New0 settled bets |
| Okgoogle0x175e…49b4 | Yes | 29,779 | 47.8¢ | $8.59K | New37 settled bets |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 26,180 | 27.2¢ | $7.55K | Proven+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 24,794 | 11.2¢ | $7.15K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| LaGalaxyLover0x30ce…fdce | No | 10,000 | 73.0¢ | $7.12K | Proven+$13.27 per $100 · 2,287 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | No | 9,966 | 72.0¢ | $7.09K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| RobyMain0x980e…2073 | Yes | 23,377 | 55.8¢ | $6.74K | New1 settled bet |
| DixJeremy0x29e9…60cb | Yes | 22,788 | 48.8¢ | $6.57K | New2 settled bets |
| tiburon0x22d3…5e3a | Yes | 21,587 | 44.3¢ | $6.23K | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 317 bets |
| 0xdea2…e981 | No | 8,330 | 39.4¢ | $5.93K | New23 settled bets |
| puiemsd0x0659…2995 | Yes | 20,384 | 22.3¢ | $5.88K | New50 settled bets |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | Yes | 18,400 | 2.5¢ | $5.31K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 18,003 | 38.8¢ | $5.19K | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| Lordpengu0x58f5…c6c9 | No | 7,146 | 60.4¢ | $5.08K | New0 settled bets |
| Tobias19090xe394…289c | Yes | 17,278 | 47.0¢ | $4.98K | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 1,326 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 16,464 | 20.9¢ | $4.75K | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| 0x54a5…ee3d | Yes | 15,720 | 56.8¢ | $4.54K | New96 settled bets |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 15,679 | 19.6¢ | $4.52K | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| yohan750xd4c3…60d9 | Yes | 15,052 | 21.8¢ | $4.34K | Losing−$4.56 per $100 · 742 bets |
| andi1999990xdedc…2fcd | Yes | 14,504 | 26.6¢ | $4.18K | New23 settled bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 14,070 | 43.0¢ | $4.06K | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| 3musketeers0xb251…6f5b | Yes | 13,314 | 22.5¢ | $3.84K | Proven+$6.86 per $100 · 663 bets |
| 0x115a…e4a6 | Yes | 13,000 | 30.4¢ | $3.75K | New79 settled bets |
| Sitdownandrelax0xb09d…64c8 | Yes | 13,000 | 30.0¢ | $3.75K | New20 settled bets |
| ultimate1010x1fc9…c4b9 | Yes | 12,647 | 34.2¢ | $3.65K | New5 settled bets |
| dp.p0x639d…4777 | Yes | 11,904 | 7.0¢ | $3.43K | Positive+$11.60 per $100 · 7,437 bets |
| 568710x0bab…ab66 | No | 4,425 | 56.0¢ | $3.15K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0260…478e | Yes | 10,820 | 35.5¢ | $3.12K | New16 settled bets |
| zb80x0224…292a | Yes | 10,388 | 45.6¢ | $3K | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 1,467 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 10,192 | 41.9¢ | $2.94K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0xb014…bd18 | No | 4,128 | 68.4¢ | $2.94K | New19 settled bets |
| 0x2248…cad0 | Yes | 9,984 | 39.7¢ | $2.88K | New91 settled bets |
| oral.kite56330x6d6f…0f95 | Yes | 9,865 | 24.2¢ | $2.85K | New7 settled bets |
| 0xe563…77ef | Yes | 9,398 | 30.3¢ | $2.71K | New5 settled bets |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | No | 3,666 | 53.3¢ | $2.61K | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| bau70xf9a2…a79a | Yes | 9,019 | 23.9¢ | $2.6K | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 1,831 bets |
| 0x91f0…f8d6 | Yes | 8,870 | 57.1¢ | $2.56K | New57 settled bets |
| Emri0x5175…1546 | Yes | 8,791 | 19.7¢ | $2.54K | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 179 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 8,387 | 48.1¢ | $2.42K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| 0xc7fb…e5fd | No | 3,000 | 53.5¢ | $2.13K | Proven+$5.88 per $100 · 1,013 bets |
| PourceauRabbin0xe89f…b775 | Yes | 7,163 | 28.5¢ | $2.07K | New34 settled bets |
| Andresfv7770x9908…b3c5 | Yes | 7,089 | 30.0¢ | $2.05K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x4866…0724 | Yes | 6,888 | 31.9¢ | $1.99K | New15 settled bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 6,744 | 28.4¢ | $1.95K | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| blyat2550x5e9a…d183 | No | 2,675 | 50.7¢ | $1.9K | New11 settled bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 2,621 | 73.8¢ | $1.86K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x2be3…573b | Yes | 6,415 | 28.7¢ | $1.85K | New1 settled bet |
| 0x398b…be1f | No | 2,599 | 64.5¢ | $1.85K | New57 settled bets |
| azizou0x6c62…8a72 | No | 2,477 | 83.3¢ | $1.76K | New26 settled bets |
| MrDouche0xc2c8…5471 | No | 2,227 | 52.1¢ | $1.58K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 3,113 bets |
| Zowiezo0x94cf…d339 | No | 2,207 | 65.1¢ | $1.57K | Proven+$6.89 per $100 · 248 bets |
| happynationbr0x8397…a04d | No | 2,192 | 54.0¢ | $1.56K | Proven+$2.82 per $100 · 165 bets |
| walnutpeanut0x205b…8edf | No | 2,190 | 65.1¢ | $1.56K | Positive+$4.32 per $100 · 140 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,726 | 56.7¢ | $1.23K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 4,000 | 15.0¢ | $1.15K | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| LeiSuSport0x4f1f…f5ea | No | 1,621 | 65.7¢ | $1.15K | Losing−$1.61 per $100 · 1,273 bets |
| Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3 | No | 1,434 | 70.8¢ | $1.02K | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 310 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 1,400 | 63.5¢ | $996 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0x9eb4…89b0 | No | 1,383 | 70.1¢ | $984 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 147 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 1,342 | 73.2¢ | $955 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| 4i1V2b6d7o3l8r0x3d29…a996 | No | 1,103 | 73.7¢ | $785 | New89 settled bets |
| majorkarr0xcf18…8a0d | No | 1,100 | 65.1¢ | $782 | Proven+$5.05 per $100 · 223 bets |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | No | 1,081 | 55.5¢ | $769 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| catalanpaths0xc972…dcd9 | No | 1,000 | 58.7¢ | $712 | Proven+$26.21 per $100 · 1,778 bets |
| 0xd9b9…e354 | No | 1,000 | 75.4¢ | $712 | New42 settled bets |
| EscapeVelocity0x832b…3ae1 | No | 1,000 | 70.9¢ | $711 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 1,574 bets |
| eleazar0x6e24…8266 | No | 954 | 54.3¢ | $679 | Positive+$4.60 per $100 · 442 bets |
| 0x3814…17bc | No | 900 | 56.8¢ | $640 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 502 bets |
| peter2397840x7d58…cfcc | No | 872 | 65.2¢ | $620 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 1,700 bets |
| 0VLYp0x289f…4f9a | No | 851 | 71.1¢ | $605 | New49 settled bets |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 1,737 | 30.8¢ | $501 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 27,047 bets |
| edmurphy0x025a…c851 | No | 669 | 75.6¢ | $476 | New3 settled bets |
| c00kedforever0xb39a…abed | No | 666 | 78.9¢ | $474 | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 438 bets |
| pandan98640xb46e…ce37 | No | 663 | 68.0¢ | $472 | New1 settled bet |
| 0xd0e9…ad3f | No | 651 | 65.7¢ | $463 | New28 settled bets |
| -Guapo--0x8725…eb10 | No | 638 | 52.6¢ | $454 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 13,454 bets |
| IwaSperm000x78bd…6f69 | No | 600 | 59.5¢ | $427 | New98 settled bets |
| beatyesterday0x7789…a280 | No | 600 | 65.2¢ | $427 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,244 bets |
| blueloveTH0x58d7…8f6f | No | 588 | 60.2¢ | $418 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 1,432 | 46.6¢ | $413 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| veliMax0x3435…a1ed | No | 551 | 66.5¢ | $392 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.