Market · 2 of 19 outcomes
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 14,682 | 98.0¢ | $13.8K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 773 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | Yes | 6,300 | 96.6¢ | $5.93K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Batistouta690x5999…bf2c | Yes | 5,300 | 90.9¢ | $4.99K | — |
| 0xef97…ab2c | Yes | 5,000 | 98.1¢ | $4.7K | — |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 2,918 | 77.9¢ | $2.75K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| VGR220x7cbe…c4b7 | No | 14,238 | 5.5¢ | $840 | Positive+$5.90 per $100 · 3,100 bets |
| 0xc997…26f6 | Yes | 838 | 98.3¢ | $788 | New0 settled bets |
| ahhuat80x0cad…5dd0 | Yes | 600 | 85.5¢ | $565 | Losing−$4.04 per $100 · 385 bets |
| social.tm0x7eaf…34d1 | Yes | 594 | 82.4¢ | $559 | — |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 9,138 | 3.3¢ | $539 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| Jopol0xfde5…676c | Yes | 506 | 84.5¢ | $476 | — |
| TuKiBTC0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | 500 | 95.0¢ | $471 | — |
| lucyluck0x9da7…8bb1 | Yes | 381 | 77.9¢ | $359 | — |
| Runner1090x6a67…df6f | Yes | 349 | 96.1¢ | $329 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 667 bets |
| DavidShekel0x5452…d448 | No | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $295 | Positive+$3.50 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| QuantMcLovin0x3642…757d | Yes | 200 | 76.0¢ | $188 | — |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | Yes | 200 | 96.6¢ | $188 | — |
| vinunited0xdede…8a50 | Yes | 200 | 95.0¢ | $188 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 200 | 83.0¢ | $188 | New69 settled bets |
| tilchi0x7f1d…45dc | Yes | 170 | 97.0¢ | $160 | — |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 139 | 81.7¢ | $131 | — |
| powerfulshrimp0xa92a…a4d8 | Yes | 126 | 95.1¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 145 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 109 | 94.2¢ | $103 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | No | 1,673 | 8.0¢ | $99 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| DanBolla330x4934…6d71 | Yes | 104 | 98.1¢ | $98 | — |
| 0xbb97…d6b9 | Yes | 100 | 96.2¢ | $94 | — |
| gavinfunda0xb924…0803 | Yes | 80 | 95.3¢ | $75 | — |
| q828503250xce38…1325 | Yes | 72 | 87.6¢ | $68 | — |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 1,100 | 17.5¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| regregr0xcbe2…b059 | Yes | 65 | 95.8¢ | $61 | — |
| 0xbbe7…b7f9 | No | 975 | 8.0¢ | $58 | — |
| sverrekd0xbf2d…8452 | No | 830 | 20.6¢ | $49 | — |
| DrS80x03bc…530c | Yes | 51 | 98.1¢ | $48 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No | 764 | 3.4¢ | $45 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | No | 763 | 5.2¢ | $45 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 46 | 95.9¢ | $43 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | Yes | 46 | 94.2¢ | $43 | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | No | 685 | 2.1¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| 0x63b0…1428 | Yes | 40 | 96.5¢ | $38 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 637 | 5.2¢ | $38 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Bitsbyd0x137f…f579 | Yes | 35 | 85.2¢ | $33 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 555 | 3.7¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | No | 528 | 5.0¢ | $31 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| elv0xf5fd…3348 | No | 500 | 16.0¢ | $29 | — |
| yetiyetiyeti0x9cfc…3671 | Yes | 31 | 97.1¢ | $29 | — |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 30 | 83.0¢ | $29 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 445 | 25.5¢ | $26 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| xImTempR0xb13a…7ca5 | Yes | 24 | 84.7¢ | $22 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 367 | 19.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Vodka-0x7842…4d91 | No | 339 | 18.9¢ | $20 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 21 | 0.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | No | 246 | 22.4¢ | $15 | Proven+$7.56 per $100 · 3,291 bets |
| Slatesavage0x78f5…2155 | Yes | 15 | 98.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Elsa-kenniwan0x26f7…19f6 | No | 194 | 35.1¢ | $11 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 165 | 34.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Xavnorge0xa98f…33b3 | Yes | 10 | 81.8¢ | $9 | — |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | Yes | 10 | 80.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| BigEthBro0xf479…0fe3 | Yes | 9 | 89.3¢ | $8 | — |
| Ribot0x25d6…e5e9 | No | 134 | 3.2¢ | $8 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 103 | 8.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 6 | 97.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| Kirito0x6754…fc3b | No | 96 | 7.3¢ | $6 | — |
| l5wrGYrLGv0xb5c4…cb3b | Yes | 6 | 98.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9140…f62c | No | 94 | 6.1¢ | $6 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 5 | 96.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 74 | 3.9¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| DoctorMaybe0x3e24…ca5d | No | 74 | 20.0¢ | $4 | — |
| brianmok0x4108…17b1 | Yes | 4 | 98.6¢ | $3 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | No | 57 | 2.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x785e…a200 | Yes | 3 | 87.6¢ | $3 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 52 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| ShadowVorcaro0x201c…6bfe | No | 50 | 17.7¢ | $3 | — |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | No | 49 | 4.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 533 bets |
| Danix10xf661…2122 | Yes | 3 | 84.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9d37…16fa | Yes | 2 | 86.6¢ | $2 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 33 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| 0x6216…1bd4 | No | 30 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 21 | 27.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 21 | 3.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| akatbo0x42d6…7ea9 | No | 20 | 23.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Merlan0xfdb9…6a32 | No | 17 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4fbc…a244 | Yes | 1 | 96.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 15 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | No | 13 | 17.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 27,047 bets |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | No | 11 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 7 | 4.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Dnhiel0x7955…0c41 | No | 6 | 18.7¢ | $0 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | No | 5 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Moteeks0xeb50…7c07 | No | 5 | 41.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | No | 1 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.85 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 35.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | No | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| J255250x7e80…631b | No | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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