Market · 1 of 6 outcomes
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 6 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 2,804 | 66.3¢ | $2.02K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| 党的光辉照我心0x51ba…3ca5 | Yes | 1,504 | 67.4¢ | $1.08K | — |
| 0x7fd5…b12a | Yes | 689 | 73.4¢ | $496 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 472 | 74.6¢ | $340 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 406 | 66.0¢ | $292 | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,696 bets |
| kitan70x5a24…7d0d | Yes | 300 | 71.7¢ | $216 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 743 | 33.2¢ | $208 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| Ribot0x25d6…e5e9 | Yes | 236 | 66.3¢ | $170 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 162 | 55.4¢ | $117 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| 0x0d4a…9210 | Yes | 154 | 65.8¢ | $111 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 310 | 33.4¢ | $87 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 108 | 73.8¢ | $78 | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 6,282 bets |
| Tingo20260xc1d3…0d96 | Yes | 100 | 65.0¢ | $72 | — |
| eemhino0x68ea…8a85 | Yes | 84 | 66.4¢ | $60 | — |
| TLfantasy0x56e4…38f1 | Yes | 77 | 66.2¢ | $55 | New0 settled bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 59 | 3.0¢ | $43 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| leectram20x0d4f…000e | Yes | 51 | 63.6¢ | $37 | Losing−$4.87 per $100 · 2,185 bets |
| stripbear0x7a0e…c7a6 | Yes | 50 | 68.0¢ | $36 | — |
| blacksilver0xe312…4a76 | No | 103 | 29.8¢ | $29 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 90 | 36.0¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 79 | 34.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Fourteenkiss0x53eb…f496 | Yes | 29 | 68.9¢ | $21 | — |
| shou10x16d6…89a4 | Yes | 29 | 69.9¢ | $21 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 61 | 34.2¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 58 | 26.7¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 22 | 57.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 20 | 62.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 18 | 81.6¢ | $13 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 38 | 27.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| greyfacemoon0xb76f…0854 | Yes | 14 | 70.8¢ | $10 | — |
| pc-company0x34c6…ea15 | Yes | 13 | 75.0¢ | $10 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 34 | 32.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| dandawo0xc151…7634 | Yes | 13 | 71.8¢ | $9 | — |
| hanes690xca2a…73ae | Yes | 13 | 79.3¢ | $9 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 29 | 36.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | No | 25 | 18.8¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 9,218 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 9 | 73.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0xa06e…d147 | No | 23 | 45.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 20 | 19.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 20 | 68.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 20 | 18.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 18 | 33.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| b0bina0xc9e8…faeb | No | 15 | 44.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 15 | 21.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | Yes | 5 | 62.0¢ | $4 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 12 | 28.8¢ | $3 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 36.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 10 | 36.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 38.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 10 | 23.7¢ | $3 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 8 | 37.0¢ | $2 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 8 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | Yes | 2 | 74.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 4 | 29.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| Shigua130y-Willow0x3ee5…febe | Yes | 1 | 67.9¢ | $1 | — |
| MiCoqCoq0xc2e9…2d25 | Yes | 1 | 73.8¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 3 | 32.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| viktorliu0xed30…5702 | Yes | 1 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | No | 3 | 44.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xe6da…d3e0 | Yes | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | 1 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b5…8c02 | No | 1 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd7e3…8327 | No | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 1 | 29.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 70.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x7157…e799 | Yes | 0 | 82.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 417 bets |
| 0xec17…0af9 | Yes | 0 | 82.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | Yes | 0 | 72.8¢ | $0 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 0 | 77.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 41.7¢ | $0 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 0 | 23.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.76 per $100 · 71,370+ bets · updating |
| alexapache0xc37d…b48c | No | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HE110W0R1D0xa86f…022c | No | 0 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | No | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| AllyouneedisClaude0x4708…9580 | No | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.