Market · 3 of 19 outcomes
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x26AF70xaf3f…b43e | Yes | 20,053 | 64.2¢ | $14.7K | New1 settled bet |
| Lordpengu0x58f5…c6c9 | Yes | 17,548 | 66.3¢ | $12.9K | New0 settled bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No | 26,994 | 36.2¢ | $7.15K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| chingmin0x22a2…aff7 | Yes | 6,790 | 73.0¢ | $4.99K | New0 settled bets |
| VGR220x7cbe…c4b7 | No | 14,429 | 37.8¢ | $3.82K | Positive+$5.90 per $100 · 3,105 bets |
| sciuboi0xd6b6…342b | Yes | 2,649 | 59.2¢ | $1.95K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 584 bets |
| Runner1090x6a67…df6f | Yes | 1,892 | 70.7¢ | $1.39K | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 671 bets |
| Trader1200x3de6…e560 | Yes | 1,157 | 52.2¢ | $850 | Losing−$4.33 per $100 · 27,167 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 2,180 | 31.2¢ | $578 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 2,136 | 30.1¢ | $566 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | No | 1,501 | 36.6¢ | $398 | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 3,752 bets |
| 0x9366…6350 | Yes | 508 | 60.5¢ | $374 | New88 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 1,402 | 37.4¢ | $372 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| 0xb427…a1d9 | No | 1,397 | 38.5¢ | $370 | — |
| 0x6a10…34b2 | Yes | 500 | 61.5¢ | $367 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 439 | 49.6¢ | $323 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| RaphCrypto0x1873…37b6 | No | 1,161 | 29.0¢ | $308 | Proven+$11.10 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xb6da…857c | Yes | 415 | 68.1¢ | $305 | — |
| 0x012a…9fa9 | Yes | 388 | 59.8¢ | $285 | — |
| Six0000000x89df…f8d0 | Yes | 362 | 56.5¢ | $266 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 355 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | Yes | 360 | 55.3¢ | $265 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,052 bets |
| KyksBallonDor0xe09c…b2e8 | Yes | 308 | 60.1¢ | $226 | — |
| paulchen11280xe192…e6ad | No | 842 | 46.2¢ | $223 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 300 | 72.0¢ | $221 | New69 settled bets |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 728 | 41.4¢ | $193 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | 250 | 57.0¢ | $184 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| elv0xf5fd…3348 | Yes | 250 | 53.0¢ | $184 | — |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | Yes | 215 | 72.5¢ | $158 | — |
| lilith2750x7db0…8c18 | Yes | 200 | 49.0¢ | $147 | Proven+$5.07 per $100 · 376 bets |
| Maxx2A0x4382…f0e0 | Yes | 189 | 54.2¢ | $139 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | No | 500 | 35.0¢ | $133 | Proven+$8.57 per $100 · 7,249 bets |
| KieranAtwell0x23e9…109f | Yes | 141 | 59.7¢ | $104 | — |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | No | 376 | 45.7¢ | $100 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 124 | 71.1¢ | $91 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 263,521+ bets · updating |
| Lufelola0x4a69…228f | Yes | 123 | 60.9¢ | $90 | Losing−$28.78 per $100 · 278 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 300 | 28.0¢ | $80 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| moneypoli0xf2da…9385 | Yes | 100 | 69.1¢ | $73 | — |
| BetView0x8529…d9fb | Yes | 100 | 61.3¢ | $73 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 220 | 26.1¢ | $58 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| q828503250xce38…1325 | Yes | 76 | 67.1¢ | $56 | — |
| Archeval0xec25…a6cb | Yes | 75 | 60.2¢ | $55 | — |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 207 | 38.9¢ | $55 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| 0x9495…468f | No | 201 | 28.0¢ | $53 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,790 bets |
| DoctorMaybe0x3e24…ca5d | No | 200 | 30.0¢ | $53 | — |
| Volituk0x2f88…0111 | Yes | 68 | 72.0¢ | $50 | — |
| 0xa5ca…3356 | Yes | 63 | 58.3¢ | $46 | — |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | Yes | 60 | 46.2¢ | $44 | Proven+$7.46 per $100 · 3,310 bets |
| ms41230xf5de…0310 | Yes | 47 | 65.1¢ | $34 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 129 | 26.4¢ | $34 | — |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | No | 127 | 28.0¢ | $34 | — |
| Ribot0x25d6…e5e9 | No | 102 | 24.7¢ | $27 | — |
| nebula10xcbcc…6d6a | No | 102 | 63.6¢ | $27 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | No | 98 | 30.9¢ | $26 | — |
| waltrapa0x8643…0f54 | Yes | 29 | 55.1¢ | $21 | — |
| jeanettesteele0x4bc1…70ab | Yes | 28 | 75.0¢ | $20 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 60 | 30.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 60 | 40.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 20 | 72.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| Xavnorge0xa98f…33b3 | Yes | 20 | 52.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Razor770xcef7…e693 | Yes | 18 | 39.2¢ | $14 | — |
| ShadowVorcaro0x201c…6bfe | No | 50 | 50.2¢ | $13 | — |
| fedorovPVO0x93a0…74de | No | 50 | 36.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.49 per $100 · 443 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 50 | 40.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 4,124 bets |
| Axel9740x77c5…d8fd | Yes | 18 | 57.2¢ | $13 | — |
| predictionater0x6460…8685 | Yes | 17 | 75.0¢ | $12 | — |
| winwinws0x84ea…fa29 | Yes | 16 | 62.2¢ | $12 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 42 | 28.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | No | 40 | 41.0¢ | $11 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 34 | 40.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 29 | 33.5¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| sandra140x84eb…fbe8 | Yes | 9 | 67.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd4d6…80d0 | Yes | 9 | 59.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Xyccc0x34f7…018c | No | 24 | 43.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x2757…2f31 | Yes | 8 | 65.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x785e…a200 | Yes | 7 | 68.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 20 | 23.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,034 bets |
| 0x8cf2…610f | No | 20 | 34.1¢ | $5 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 20 | 28.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| MarcChagall0xd0ad…1c67 | Yes | 7 | 75.0¢ | $5 | — |
| SnowRazer0x40c2…b2fc | No | 16 | 39.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.86 per $100 · 6,416 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 16 | 30.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 15 | 24.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x6216…1bd4 | No | 14 | 37.0¢ | $4 | — |
| TigerManagmentSports0x01f1…5a22 | No | 14 | 37.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 10 | 25.2¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | 3 | 75.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x21d5…b6d5 | No | 7 | 28.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.73 per $100 · 733 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 2 | 61.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0x2b30…ce6b | Yes | 2 | 69.1¢ | $2 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 6 | 34.6¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| 0xc154…fe6f | No | 6 | 36.1¢ | $2 | — |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | Yes | 2 | 70.1¢ | $1 | — |
| lulu2130xa25e…2dd7 | No | 6 | 36.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 5 | 55.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mr.An0x376e…4c04 | No | 5 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1234…c1bb | Yes | 2 | 39.2¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 3 | 26.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.