Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bilibobz0x6e81…864b | No | 17 | 79.8¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 12 | 77.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 10 |
| 43.0¢ |
| $10 |
| Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 18,004 bets |
| hypda5jqmd980x5264…54ce | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x43f9…dbe0 | No | 5 | 71.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8b18…9dc8 | No | 2 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | No | 2 | 73.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 2 | 84.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | No | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 1 | 81.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 572 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 230 | 5.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 188 | 1.3¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 138 | 8.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| crckr0x2b3d…8db7 | Yes | 126 | 18.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.25 per $100 · 5,875 bets |
| 0x6f95…70a9 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 84 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,982+ bets · updating |
| 0x614f…01ee | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qs12345670xc460…38a0 | Yes | 59 | 26.6¢ | $0 | — |
| risknot30x61f2…e2ae | Yes | 53 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ScottsRoad0xcceb…f030 | Yes | 50 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 95.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 39 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 159,447 bets |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 37 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 36 | 9.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 28 | 31.9¢ | $0 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 28 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 0 | 90.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 25 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 0 | 87.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | No | 0 | 81.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 83.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| EltS0xd0c6…d465 | No | 0 | 78.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 67.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 18 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 17 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| 0xed0f…b307 | Yes | 10 | 31.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | 8 | 30.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$6.26 per $100 · 8,077 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 5 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| akko1230x403d…b04d | Yes | 1 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| JohnJJJ0x78d2…7a2b | Yes | 1 | 39.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.59 per $100 · 9,894 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 12.8¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420070x6b17…03b2 | Yes | 0 | 25.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 9,818 bets |
| 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | 0 | 17.3¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| YYDDD0x96a2…a1a7 | Yes | 0 | 27.8¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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