Market · 34 of 71 outcomes
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 09:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 1,276 | 84.9¢ | $1.22K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| TheHorrorsPersistButSoDoI0xa706…42f0 | No | 196 | 89.0¢ | $188 | — |
| LatinaConqueror0x1d7c…51b6 | No | 96 | 95.8¢ | $92 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 619 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 86 | 95.9¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 260 bets |
| ArbitrageTaker0x5e92…618a | No | 75 | 90.8¢ | $72 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 127 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 867 | 15.0¢ | $36 | — |
| sunshines0xa7ee…421b | No | 20 | 97.2¢ | $19 | Proven+$7.74 per $100 · 320 bets |
| 0xa5bc…10ad | No | 18 | 89.2¢ | $18 | — |
| MartinaCandombe0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | 200 | 9.1¢ | $8 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 196 | 4.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 165 | 11.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,997 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 118 | 8.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 4 | 83.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.62 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 9.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 63 | 9.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 39 | 8.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| Pjchougule - 13260x2998…b425 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 20 | 9.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,579+ bets · updating |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 3,551 bets |
| jellyjellyjeely0x1057…2a37 | No | 0 | 88.1¢ | $0 | — |
| sadgfvjygasejrf0x88b4…5522 | No | 0 | 88.1¢ | $0 | — |
| sjuydfvs0x3378…1a31 | No | 0 | 88.1¢ | $0 | — |
| xflip0x3c9a…6959 | No | 0 | 88.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ausygia0xbc02…e7aa | No | 0 | 88.2¢ | $0 | — |
| FrostKissedVelvetEchoes0xd682…fa2f | No | 0 | 88.2¢ | $0 | — |
| xinxin90x3030…0059 | No | 0 | 88.1¢ | $0 | — |
| glassyka0x6ff8…7868 | No | 0 | 88.1¢ | $0 | — |
| linux.xx10xc8a0…5cc4 | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 7.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.