Market · 2 of 22 outcomes
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | No | 3,912 | 57.8¢ | $2.91K | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 1,497 | 27.9¢ | $382 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Rentabar0xf802…d91d |
| No |
| 414 |
| 55.7¢ |
| $308 |
| — |
| towtle0x77e3…46cf | No | 265 | 38.2¢ | $197 | New34 settled bets |
| 0xd29d…b038 | Yes | 654 | 31.9¢ | $167 | — |
| 0x9edd…6fe3 | Yes | 600 | 64.0¢ | $153 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 400 | 35.9¢ | $102 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 6,270 bets |
| Bruno.delcol0x1cea…181d | Yes | 359 | 70.2¢ | $92 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 294 | 43.1¢ | $75 | — |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | No | 92 | 38.1¢ | $69 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | Yes | 250 | 20.3¢ | $64 | — |
| 0x6fee…f3b1 | Yes | 241 | 30.0¢ | $62 | — |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | 197 | 21.5¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 3,603 bets |
| melganis0x0bfb…26a7 | No | 67 | 39.3¢ | $50 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 2,885 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 60 | 72.6¢ | $45 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 59 | 56.0¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 150 | 1.6¢ | $38 | New0 settled bets |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | Yes | 121 | 35.9¢ | $31 | — |
| yu252525250xbb22…710a | Yes | 120 | 55.9¢ | $31 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 107 | 35.8¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x1ee8…801b | No | 30 | 36.7¢ | $22 | — |
| 94ec20x9c09…4073 | No | 30 | 70.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x3fe8…eee5 | No | 29 | 67.1¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 78 | 37.1¢ | $20 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| colorfultortise110x6b16…6936 | No | 26 | 67.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 990 bets |
| Andry090xd104…7c02 | Yes | 74 | 27.6¢ | $19 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 23 | 21.4¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| crosspower0x420a…fd76 | Yes | 56 | 36.7¢ | $14 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 53 | 46.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| why469120x6bb0…6d57 | No | 18 | 0.0¢ | $13 | Proven+$9.81 per $100 · 276 bets |
| 0xa03d…bed6 | Yes | 51 | 39.4¢ | $13 | — |
| bobbet0x755d…6acc | No | 16 | 58.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| FondoRockaVerdePM0x5410…8307 | Yes | 47 | 43.4¢ | $12 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 14 | 78.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 13 | 60.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| huatpls0xa04d…c34e | Yes | 34 | 59.1¢ | $9 | — |
| hoyinchung0x0743…c2a4 | Yes | 29 | 35.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xd173…e911 | Yes | 28 | 35.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4c1b…dcd4 | Yes | 28 | 33.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Deepcoin0x6b36…0d4b | Yes | 27 | 35.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$21.43 per $100 · 31,280+ bets · updating |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 9 | 42.1¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | Yes | 25 | 25.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.98 per $100 · 1,237 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 42.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 0x7943…29b4 | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $5 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | Yes | 20 | 43.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sokolok0xe415…7f55 | Yes | 19 | 50.2¢ | $5 | — |
| elinpop0xbce3…d60a | Yes | 19 | 45.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1magusan0x228e…08ef | Yes | 16 | 31.0¢ | $4 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 5 | 57.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | No | 4 | 52.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd660…e8d9 | No | 4 | 61.7¢ | $3 | — |
| QueenoftheGlow0xe264…2932 | No | 4 | 63.0¢ | $3 | — |
| marcmedina0xaac0…4bc7 | Yes | 11 | 44.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0b9f…d299 | Yes | 11 | 45.7¢ | $3 | — |
| thef1nomad0x1b05…7a48 | Yes | 11 | 45.7¢ | $3 | — |
| JukesWRLD9990x478f…e43c | Yes | 11 | 47.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 4 | 35.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Mars030xff7a…43ff | Yes | 10 | 51.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Montelibero0xb0bb…91d3 | Yes | 10 | 53.6¢ | $2 | — |
| cyborgcy0xf270…5294 | Yes | 9 | 53.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 9 | 23.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0x13e1…0805 | No | 3 | 66.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 9 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| iceman3130x7c32…ae78 | Yes | 8 | 24.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb728…32cd | Yes | 6 | 31.0¢ | $2 | — |
| gm4n0x61ae…0215 | Yes | 5 | 56.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa6ef…9f24 | Yes | 5 | 34.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x212b…47a5 | Yes | 5 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| winser0x2e83…6705 | Yes | 5 | 25.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Cavalierss0x2516…ab67 | No | 1 | 74.6¢ | $1 | — |
| baztheblade0x0dc3…9607 | Yes | 3 | 32.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.71 per $100 · 135 bets |
| 0x50e8…3791 | Yes | 3 | 38.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 123 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 1 | 62.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| PirateKings0x9cd2…b56f | No | 1 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 0 | 57.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| 28autos0x507a…be1f | No | 0 | 36.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 3,045 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 62.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | No | 0 | 35.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 66.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 7 shares each side · Show
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