Market · 6 of 19 outcomes
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik-0x9e80…f694 | No | 10,700 | 98.1¢ | $10.7K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 2,529 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 7,719 | 95.7¢ | $7.69K | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| slapp0x31e6…8561 | No | 1,900 | 96.0¢ | $1.89K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,704 | 99.5¢ | $1.7K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Mmorphing0x9403…5ecc | No | 1,214 | 98.9¢ | $1.21K | — |
| PerritoMalvado0x1768…b841 | No | 954 | 98.1¢ | $950 | — |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | No | 691 | 96.8¢ | $689 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 6,524 bets |
| LuchoTrader0x565a…cbe3 | No | 558 | 96.6¢ | $556 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 459 | 95.9¢ | $457 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 411 | 99.5¢ | $410 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| PourceauRabbin0xe89f…b775 | Yes | 103,214 | 1.1¢ | $361 | New34 settled bets |
| gibsmedats0x9842…132b | Yes | 94,981 | 1.1¢ | $332 | — |
| FxnEdge0x2956…d31b | No | 300 | 97.1¢ | $299 | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 686 bets |
| -Guapo--0x8725…eb10 | No | 293 | 94.5¢ | $292 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 13,454 bets |
| Stalkrav0x3d7e…55bc | No | 201 | 99.3¢ | $201 | — |
| ac0090x8b01…24a9 | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $200 | — |
| Test.10xd08b…b74c | No | 200 | 98.1¢ | $199 | Losing−$2.36 per $100 · 506 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 200 | 97.1¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 0x8829…06e0 | Yes | 56,825 | 1.8¢ | $199 | — |
| koninginhetuniverse0xa579…aad0 | Yes | 52,748 | 1.0¢ | $185 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 2,326 bets |
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | Yes | 52,576 | 3.4¢ | $184 | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 50,000 | 1.2¢ | $175 | Proven+$8.64 per $100 · 551 bets |
| Constancefung0x9a5d…4261 | No | 163 | 97.7¢ | $162 | Positive+$1.53 per $100 · 833 bets |
| kvaradonnay0xefee…5c77 | Yes | 45,196 | 1.9¢ | $158 | — |
| mikiikkahhvdud0x8b7b…9ab9 | No | 151 | 99.5¢ | $150 | — |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 41,604 | 1.4¢ | $146 | — |
| zeroxace0xf071…5a56 | Yes | 41,188 | 0.5¢ | $144 | — |
| borja130x454c…bd22 | Yes | 41,002 | 0.9¢ | $144 | Proven+$15.57 per $100 · 380 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 37,219 | 1.3¢ | $130 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| 0x1b1d…54fd | No | 128 | 99.6¢ | $128 | — |
| Kevin12345670x6f79…a20d | Yes | 36,090 | 2.0¢ | $126 | — |
| aliaspopeye0x8713…196b | Yes | 34,147 | 0.4¢ | $120 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 99 | 99.6¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| vcxvcvxc0xa427…fa9f | No | 94 | 99.6¢ | $94 | — |
| cwedsa0xf1c3…ee48 | No | 92 | 99.8¢ | $92 | — |
| 0xd037…ae73 | Yes | 25,000 | 1.4¢ | $88 | — |
| RaphCrypto0x1873…37b6 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $87 | Proven+$11.10 per $100 · 622 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 22,749 | 0.5¢ | $80 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| Wickier0x1cc1…b8df | Yes | 22,628 | 2.3¢ | $79 | Proven+$18.22 per $100 · 1,097 bets |
| alga-aldiyar0x39c2…21a2 | No | 79 | 98.1¢ | $79 | — |
| vinisw0xa8ac…2613 | Yes | 22,371 | 1.0¢ | $78 | New54 settled bets |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 66 | 98.9¢ | $66 | — |
| GTG7910xbbd3…17c7 | Yes | 18,290 | 1.7¢ | $64 | — |
| laurenzs0x4cdc…b276 | No | 60 | 97.1¢ | $60 | — |
| bbjkycvvm0x739e…376e | Yes | 16,233 | 3.7¢ | $57 | — |
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 57 | 98.1¢ | $56 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| breathjold0x06d2…ab27 | No | 57 | 97.4¢ | $56 | — |
| bla230xe31a…adff | Yes | 15,561 | 2.1¢ | $54 | — |
| tailorhaer0xcdca…c8ec | No | 54 | 98.1¢ | $54 | — |
| spx110xff36…e757 | Yes | 15,000 | 2.2¢ | $52 | Proven+$10.51 per $100 · 174 bets |
| belau0x6287…dee6 | No | 51 | 98.1¢ | $51 | — |
| Prescott-1120x3878…fb8f | No | 51 | 98.3¢ | $51 | — |
| akazipper0xc398…9c7f | No | 50 | 95.4¢ | $50 | — |
| karinakak450xb4b3…8e12 | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $50 | — |
| KMacauley99470x37d6…9528 | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $50 | — |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 50 | 98.6¢ | $50 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 367 bets |
| leetbetter0x974b…b29b | No | 50 | 97.0¢ | $50 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $49 | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902+ bets · updating |
| 0x6669…76f3 | Yes | 13,898 | 0.6¢ | $49 | — |
| Mollie0xa48b…229e | No | 48 | 98.4¢ | $48 | — |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | Yes | 12,663 | 2.0¢ | $44 | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| 0x779a…590b | Yes | 12,186 | 0.8¢ | $43 | — |
| Garyaudi940x21ea…7d11 | Yes | 12,010 | 2.9¢ | $42 | — |
| Eunice0x42e3…cb2f | No | 42 | 97.9¢ | $42 | — |
| uie89s00xf5fc…e077 | No | 41 | 97.8¢ | $41 | — |
| 0xab01…c9f1 | Yes | 11,176 | 1.4¢ | $39 | New25 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $39 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x2ae9…6368 | No | 36 | 99.6¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xc9c8…44fb | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 1,108 bets |
| electionplayer0x5fe7…44a2 | Yes | 9,818 | 1.1¢ | $34 | — |
| kushvardi0xa03d…d98c | Yes | 9,790 | 0.9¢ | $34 | — |
| TRADING19950x0244…c15b | Yes | 9,551 | 1.8¢ | $33 | — |
| Thebossss0x34c0…7d3a | Yes | 9,439 | 1.3¢ | $33 | — |
| fynm10x0f1e…2b50 | Yes | 9,017 | 1.6¢ | $32 | — |
| greeeg0x964d…daf2 | Yes | 8,836 | 1.5¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xa1da…8378 | Yes | 8,804 | 1.7¢ | $31 | — |
| Borislav0x2b01…0cbc | No | 31 | 97.4¢ | $31 | — |
| shael0xebc5…ab03 | No | 31 | 98.0¢ | $31 | — |
| 0xd0ed…3928 | No | 30 | 99.2¢ | $30 | — |
| ebk.0x7e33…1482 | Yes | 8,525 | 0.9¢ | $30 | — |
| Siyonn0xd4d6…ceec | No | 30 | 99.1¢ | $29 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 8,387 | 4.2¢ | $29 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| QuinnTobias0xa39f…5a55 | No | 29 | 98.1¢ | $29 | — |
| Moroco0x9105…b162 | Yes | 8,305 | 1.0¢ | $29 | — |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 8,278 | 3.4¢ | $29 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| svanskyn0x0c08…6bea | Yes | 8,238 | 1.5¢ | $29 | — |
| Benlesnuts0x7cd4…7dc0 | Yes | 8,227 | 2.8¢ | $29 | — |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 8,000 | 2.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| 0xd760…295e | No | 28 | 99.9¢ | $28 | — |
| kkrll130x7d95…e40c | Yes | 7,842 | 1.6¢ | $27 | — |
| dede17120x6531…8127 | Yes | 7,692 | 2.7¢ | $27 | — |
| Sawyer0xe86b…3635 | No | 27 | 97.1¢ | $27 | — |
| KurtKuhn0x8f72…ec78 | No | 26 | 98.3¢ | $26 | — |
| ThereWeGo0x750e…a3bf | Yes | 7,464 | 2.1¢ | $26 | — |
| JewelHintz0x1f26…4fbb | No | 26 | 98.1¢ | $25 | — |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,027 | 1.1¢ | $25 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| futuretbilisi0x0b99…75a7 | Yes | 6,560 | 2.4¢ | $23 | — |
| Bernard0xa42e…6fd3 | No | 22 | 98.3¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x8dd2…6ba2 | Yes | 6,143 | 0.8¢ | $22 | New34 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,134 | 1.2¢ | $21 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.