Market · 1 of 25 outcomes
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 25 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4a3b…2eb3 | Yes | 3,353 | 54.6¢ | $3.06K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 923 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 2,018 | 93.5¢ | $1.84K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| JSG30x0191…541d | Yes | 1,137 | 85.2¢ | $1.04K | New18 settled bets |
| Trotz.850x8753…85ad | Yes | 745 | 34.7¢ | $681 | — |
| 0x38d5…063c | Yes | 521 | 83.8¢ | $476 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| MambaKobe0xe393…f016 | Yes | 450 | 83.7¢ | $411 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 291 | 92.4¢ | $266 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| hurpdurp0x1d3a…7b63 | Yes | 269 | 86.9¢ | $246 | Losing−$2.46 per $100 · 4,314 bets |
| 20YrsOfBoredom0x1ecc…53a9 | Yes | 256 | 89.0¢ | $234 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 200 | 92.4¢ | $183 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 147 | 21.0¢ | $134 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| WWDCCC0xdb15…fad9 | Yes | 100 | 83.7¢ | $91 | — |
| turkxbt0xf811…69ba | Yes | 100 | 46.3¢ | $91 | — |
| ChalkGoblin0xffaf…b675 | No | 855 | 37.0¢ | $74 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 80 | 93.4¢ | $73 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 75 | 63.5¢ | $68 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,100 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 70 | 2.2¢ | $64 | — |
| Sandberg0x6416…18d7 | No | 694 | 23.4¢ | $60 | — |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | 65 | 93.7¢ | $59 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | Yes | 60 | 81.0¢ | $55 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 517 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 54 | 94.0¢ | $49 | Losing−$3.79 per $100 · 23,767 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | No | 559 | 7.0¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 6,591 bets |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 49 | 93.8¢ | $45 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 385 | 63.9¢ | $33 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 2,399 bets |
| 0x2955…0738 | No | 376 | 36.3¢ | $33 | Losing−$9.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | Yes | 34 | 77.1¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | 20 | 92.5¢ | $18 | — |
| sakeee0x3bc6…66d3 | Yes | 20 | 96.6¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xa848…8a1f | No | 200 | 63.7¢ | $17 | — |
| SweetChariot0x562b…dc09 | No | 137 | 31.9¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 5,021 bets |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 112 | 24.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | No | 89 | 20.1¢ | $8 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 85 | 9.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,627 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 80 | 21.8¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.47 per $100 · 2,637 bets |
| degens90x88b0…b118 | No | 68 | 48.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xa79b…9409 | No | 68 | 39.0¢ | $6 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | No | 50 | 14.0¢ | $4 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 40 | 6.1¢ | $3 | — |
| lako130x065b…714f | Yes | 4 | 50.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 38 | 28.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 4 | 94.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 5,258 bets |
| browndust0x13de…fd91 | Yes | 4 | 53.0¢ | $3 | — |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | No | 38 | 28.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 30 | 43.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,739 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 3 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| gilbert0030x9aa7…dd91 | No | 25 | 28.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 24 | 25.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 22 | 8.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 22 | 5.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 6.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 19 | 7.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 16 | 46.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 15 | 13.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Cobrah0x04a1…d6e6 | No | 10 | 16.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 974 bets |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 10 | 21.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.63 per $100 · 2,089 bets |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 9 | 19.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 793 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 7 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Hypnoman0070x0dcc…031e | No | 7 | 27.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.34 per $100 · 4,721 bets |
| 0xec6b…97df | No | 6 | 18.9¢ | $0 | — |
| romanew-2s0x68cc…78e0 | Yes | 0 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| LorenzTV19850xa635…cf50 | No | 5 | 63.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,056 bets |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 5 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | No | 5 | 17.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 2,473 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pogb0xc03f…249d | No | 3 | 40.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x730a…b959 | No | 3 | 48.7¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 2 | 6.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 2 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 540546150x9e6e…9f98 | No | 1 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 1 | 7.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.57 per $100 · 3,812 bets |
| billygod0xf057…ab54 | Yes | 0 | 71.0¢ | $0 | — |
| laborday250x3942…22d9 | No | 1 | 27.5¢ | $0 | New68 settled bets |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 1 | 30.6¢ | $0 | — |
| lizlocks0x8b1c…1ec7 | No | 1 | 25.9¢ | $0 | — |
| badgerdragon0xe09b…0a70 | No | 1 | 47.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PirateKings0x9cd2…b56f | No | 1 | 24.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 94.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | No | 0 | 21.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 0 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.99 per $100 · 2,568 bets |
| Zeus2220x78f4…6daa | Yes | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bkbtpout0xf65d…b385 | Yes | 0 | 51.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.