Market · 2 of 16 outcomes
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 539 | 65.6¢ | $455 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | No | 389 | 76.2¢ | $329 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 3,612 bets |
| 0x3818…c72d | Yes | 1,347 | 27.6¢ | $210 | — |
| pengu-n0x55ab…4f88 | No | 141 | 83.9¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 13,734 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 502 | 14.3¢ | $78 | New66 settled bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 431 | 26.0¢ | $67 | — |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 48 | 81.1¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 25 | 81.0¢ | $21 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,087 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 107 | 7.4¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 105 | 3.0¢ | $16 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 15 | 85.3¢ | $13 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 65 | 20.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| WholeFawn12780x2a97…7cad | No | 8 | 73.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 116 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | No | 8 | 77.4¢ | $6 | — |
| JoGold0xbf12…d3a4 | No | 7 | 80.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Chibi777owo0x75f7…7bd9 | Yes | 35 | 34.0¢ | $5 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 19.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| 0xcb05…25aa | Yes | 20 | 21.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Abrus770x51fe…7061 | Yes | 20 | 36.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 35.0¢ | $3 | — |
| lako130x065b…714f | No | 3 | 67.0¢ | $2 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| bananabreakfast0xe338…64ad | No | 2 | 61.5¢ | $1 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 7 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 6 | 14.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 1 | 84.5¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 1 | 70.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 5 | 16.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 1 | 73.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$11.58 per $100 · 741 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 62.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| degens90x88b0…b118 | Yes | 2 | 19.4¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 1 | 15.6¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 0 | 84.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| mtm60x734b…2a2c | Yes | 1 | 10.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| sdjuycgvsdjuc0x8e2e…fd0b | No | 0 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DD9990x6c88…8570 | Yes | 0 | 21.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 0 | 19.3¢ | $0 | — |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 0 | 19.2¢ | $0 | — |
| coldhot0x6854…67d0 | No | 0 | 63.7¢ | $0 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | No | 0 | 70.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 18.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 69.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 0 | 16.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| 15billionplus0x6406…bc04 | No | 0 | 71.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.86 per $100 · 1,830 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 62.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| frdesfre0x0843…d4c8 | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 20.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,974 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 0 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kmf20x71df…9aa0 | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| OneLastHurrah0x7803…9e91 | Yes | 0 | 39.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.07 per $100 · 741 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.