Market · 5 of 23 outcomes
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | No | 340 | 54.0¢ | $248 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 105 | 75.0¢ | $77 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 250 | 29.3¢ | $68 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 217 | 40.6¢ | $59 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 76 | 72.0¢ | $56 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 491 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 61 | 74.0¢ | $45 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 59 | 68.4¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| mikevici0x9282…1fa9 | No | 50 | 79.0¢ | $37 | — |
| LucaSouls100xc691…3018 | No | 50 | 79.0¢ | $37 | — |
| ObsidianCrest0xfd61…e592 | No | 50 | 71.0¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x4365…e20a | Yes | 94 | 20.9¢ | $25 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 72 | 24.2¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 24 | 82.0¢ | $18 | New42 settled bets |
| fvfvwww0x065d…a672 | Yes | 64 | 29.0¢ | $17 | — |
| HERO-KING0xdbc6…1a49 | No | 21 | 83.0¢ | $15 | — |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $15 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $15 | — |
| darkn3ss0x9517…3ebc | Yes | 50 | 26.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xd324…b23c | No | 16 | 63.0¢ | $12 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 41 | 31.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 50.0¢ | $11 | — |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 12 | 51.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $5 | — |
| yoyo4242690xa314…5ba7 | Yes | 20 | 32.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $5 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 19 | 16.0¢ | $5 | — |
| nk130x1e1b…0c00 | No | 6 | 85.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 5 | 83.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,115 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 87.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 87.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 3 | 79.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0x3245…7139 | Yes | 9 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | 7 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | Yes | 4 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 1 | 36.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 77.0¢ | $1 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | No | 1 | 74.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| 0xf470…cbe1 | Yes | 2 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 1 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 1 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 52.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0e3d…52ab | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gavinfunda0xb924…0803 | Yes | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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