Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 17 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 144,830 | 60.1¢ | $67.3K | New74 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 75,485 | 59.9¢ | $40.4K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,419 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 84,066 | 59.2¢ | $39.1K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 64,378 | 52.4¢ | $29.9K | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 63,509 | 46.4¢ | $29.5K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| MemeKing200x56d0…81d6 | Yes | 44,214 | 42.4¢ | $20.6K | New5 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 28,494 | 44.9¢ | $15.2K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 26,794 | 42.9¢ | $14.3K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | No | 24,760 | 37.7¢ | $13.2K | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 24,993 | 57.9¢ | $11.6K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | No | 19,685 | 45.0¢ | $10.5K | Proven+$7.84 per $100 · 1,852 bets |
| goingsocial0x0490…c81f | No | 17,134 | 58.0¢ | $9.17K | Proven+$3.24 per $100 · 589 bets |
| FNanalytics0x2dd7…89aa | No | 15,000 | 35.0¢ | $8.02K | Proven+$5.22 per $100 · 209 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 14,843 | 37.9¢ | $7.94K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,935 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 14,694 | 45.7¢ | $7.86K | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | No | 10,032 | 34.6¢ | $5.37K | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| coali100x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | 10,375 | 59.5¢ | $4.82K | Positive+$4.11 per $100 · 400 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 10,000 | 43.0¢ | $4.65K | Proven+$9.45 per $100 · 749 bets |
| 0x7726…4aee | Yes | 9,900 | 38.0¢ | $4.6K | Proven+$17.44 per $100 · 324 bets |
| 0xb2c1…4cf3 | Yes | 9,817 | 62.1¢ | $4.56K | — |
| Fafa130x6967…84bf | Yes | 9,555 | 72.6¢ | $4.44K | Losing−$5.00 per $100 · 227 bets |
| tNUb7u2zW8RRR32NqzjKv8Hws0x4992…00c8 | Yes | 7,763 | 76.2¢ | $3.61K | New16 settled bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 7,110 | 52.3¢ | $3.31K | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | No | 5,259 | 17.6¢ | $2.81K | Positive+$1.96 per $100 · 6,567 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | No | 4,800 | 41.2¢ | $2.57K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| scrapbook0x414b…0d3f | Yes | 5,315 | 58.0¢ | $2.47K | Losing−$4.25 per $100 · 380 bets |
| Risto0xa173…3315 | Yes | 5,276 | 42.4¢ | $2.45K | Positive+$2.12 per $100 · 484 bets |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | Yes | 5,000 | 40.0¢ | $2.33K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,901 bets |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER0x661d…4dc6 | No | 4,265 | 26.5¢ | $2.28K | Proven+$4.42 per $100 · 12,372 bets |
| PancraceRoyer0x29d3…b2ed | Yes | 4,500 | 63.7¢ | $2.09K | Proven+$11.54 per $100 · 638 bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | No | 3,773 | 40.1¢ | $2.02K | Losing−$5.49 per $100 · 8,519 bets |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | Yes | 4,000 | 64.0¢ | $1.86K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 454 bets |
| Machaon0xe3e4…8d04 | Yes | 4,000 | 65.2¢ | $1.86K | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 3,903 | 53.9¢ | $1.81K | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| smoovster0xfa77…563b | Yes | 3,846 | 65.9¢ | $1.79K | New50 settled bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 3,080 | 42.7¢ | $1.65K | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 3,060 | 19.8¢ | $1.64K | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 2,946 | 41.8¢ | $1.58K | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| dooks0xe006…b06d | Yes | 3,000 | 64.0¢ | $1.39K | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 2,594 | 60.0¢ | $1.39K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | No | 2,474 | 46.7¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| 646Capital0xc54a…5a08 | No | 2,385 | 59.0¢ | $1.28K | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 2,656 | 52.3¢ | $1.24K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,661 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 2,249 | 46.1¢ | $1.2K | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| SheepToken0xff72…cdaa | No | 2,245 | 39.2¢ | $1.2K | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 591 bets |
| Quarzo0x88ee…c234 | No | 2,009 | 62.9¢ | $1.07K | — |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | No | 2,000 | 38.9¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,875 bets |
| EH-10x1df6…cba0 | No | 2,000 | 63.9¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 13,555 bets |
| nightcity20770x5b45…362b | Yes | 2,154 | 80.3¢ | $1K | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 8,281 bets |
| doep0xe622…ea5e | Yes | 2,000 | 57.0¢ | $930 | — |
| c00kedforever0xb39a…abed | Yes | 2,000 | 64.3¢ | $930 | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 438 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 1,645 | 41.8¢ | $880 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,150 bets |
| idl0x726c…6bfd | No | 1,616 | 56.4¢ | $864 | Proven+$9.67 per $100 · 890 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 1,616 | 49.9¢ | $864 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,308 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,748 | 42.1¢ | $813 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x5bc4…f44f | Yes | 1,700 | 58.2¢ | $791 | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 3,209 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,582 | 54.3¢ | $736 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| SGR1806Magnetar0xea0d…5057 | No | 1,318 | 53.0¢ | $705 | — |
| PepsiWarrior0x8a4e…1ba4 | Yes | 1,464 | 69.2¢ | $681 | — |
| InsiderrrZ0x69e7…d3b0 | Yes | 1,445 | 61.3¢ | $672 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| Daisyninja0xd2a4…3ee9 | Yes | 1,428 | 63.0¢ | $664 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 1,219 | 48.4¢ | $652 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| WillieBrown0x645e…d120 | No | 1,200 | 60.0¢ | $642 | Losing−$5.91 per $100 · 518 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 1,337 | 53.8¢ | $622 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 1,111 | 40.0¢ | $594 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | No | 1,100 | 39.0¢ | $589 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | No | 1,066 | 50.7¢ | $570 | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 1,023 | 33.2¢ | $547 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | No | 1,016 | 62.0¢ | $543 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | No | 1,000 | 35.0¢ | $535 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,042 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 1,144 | 59.6¢ | $532 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| OoopsBankrupt0x3fbb…3f66 | Yes | 1,038 | 73.0¢ | $482 | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 393 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 1,019 | 44.7¢ | $474 | New66 settled bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,000 | 60.0¢ | $465 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| goldeye0x705d…3438 | Yes | 999 | 35.0¢ | $465 | Losing−$26.93 per $100 · 249 bets |
| iadme0x0770…184b | No | 819 | 58.0¢ | $438 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 2,502 bets |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 840 | 40.8¢ | $391 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 724 | 54.1¢ | $387 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6 | Yes | 820 | 62.0¢ | $381 | Losing−$5.51 per $100 · 1,140 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 711 | 34.2¢ | $381 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| TaylorSchifff0xaa68…94a7 | Yes | 815 | 75.6¢ | $379 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 1,115 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 803 | 26.3¢ | $373 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| 0x2955…0738 | Yes | 800 | 61.5¢ | $372 | Losing−$9.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 800 | 38.1¢ | $372 | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 10,279 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 773 | 65.9¢ | $359 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| 0xc9f1…137c | Yes | 762 | 72.4¢ | $354 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 732 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 639 | 35.9¢ | $342 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| 0x234e…240b | Yes | 735 | 68.9¢ | $342 | Losing−$2.82 per $100 · 202 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 628 | 35.8¢ | $336 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | Yes | 714 | 53.8¢ | $332 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Yes | 708 | 73.0¢ | $329 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 9,498 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 700 | 46.0¢ | $325 | Proven+$18.69 per $100 · 273 bets |
| sobaka.yebaka0x613a…2185 | No | 554 | 38.6¢ | $296 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 1,475 bets |
| Wrajitoru1850xdc6d…10fa | No | 549 | 49.8¢ | $294 | Proven+$9.12 per $100 · 1,128 bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 541 | 53.7¢ | $289 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| Ddonineteen0xbe3d…4dc6 | No | 514 | 61.3¢ | $275 | — |
| sollydisa0x1c76…c23e | No | 500 | 52.8¢ | $268 | Proven+$16.85 per $100 · 138 bets |
| KeithStarmer0x7ae8…5a42 | No | 500 | 61.2¢ | $267 | Proven+$5.38 per $100 · 677 bets |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | No | 434 | 45.6¢ | $232 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.