Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ebk.0x7e33…1482 | Yes | 2,760 | 34.2¢ | $1.86K | Positive+$1.42 per $100 · 349 bets |
| dabigferda0xf809…b391 | Yes | 1,363 | 57.3¢ | $920 | — |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 888 | 50.7¢ | $599 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 957 bets |
| PhilHawesLover0x6b3a…2841 | Yes | 886 | 31.4¢ | $598 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 9,505 bets |
| WTFYM0xdfc0…3ace | Yes | 860 | 54.7¢ | $581 | — |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | Yes | 543 | 55.0¢ | $367 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,396 bets |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 500 | 54.0¢ | $337 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 6,893 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 334 | 34.1¢ | $226 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 668 | 46.2¢ | $217 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 604 | 39.1¢ | $196 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| OhneScharf0xd277…73fe | Yes | 189 | 54.0¢ | $128 | — |
| Lukasburner0xeba4…69fb | No | 315 | 46.0¢ | $102 | Proven+$7.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| maora0x9a67…af26 | Yes | 113 | 62.6¢ | $76 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 200 | 44.3¢ | $65 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| PeterPatter0x6f60…42cb | Yes | 86 | 35.9¢ | $58 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 148 | 59.6¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 146 | 30.2¢ | $48 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,460 bets |
| jwd1031030xfa7e…f37e | Yes | 69 | 51.3¢ | $47 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 114 | 35.6¢ | $37 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| 0x1d0f…2988 | No | 111 | 68.7¢ | $36 | — |
| WholeFawn12780x2a97…7cad | No | 107 | 43.7¢ | $35 | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 116 bets |
| thecapper0x6f18…d8f5 | Yes | 50 | 64.0¢ | $34 | Proven+$5.16 per $100 · 481 bets |
| RoryKeane960xb78d…835d | Yes | 42 | 34.7¢ | $29 | Proven+$5.07 per $100 · 1,302 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 40 | 35.0¢ | $27 | — |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | Yes | 36 | 55.7¢ | $25 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| leectram20x0d4f…000e | No | 71 | 43.6¢ | $23 | Losing−$4.87 per $100 · 2,185 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | Yes | 30 | 22.7¢ | $20 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,111 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 53 | 43.3¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| UTILIZADOR20xba6c…618b | No | 50 | 54.0¢ | $16 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 16 | 65.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 32 | 44.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf22b…7eab | No | 30 | 61.7¢ | $10 | — |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 30 | 31.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| kuasuo0x06dc…32b7 | No | 30 | 62.7¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 275 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 14 | 20.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 11 | 54.8¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| 0xdb6c…43ef | Yes | 9 | 56.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Dsl0070070xef27…600f | Yes | 8 | 56.7¢ | $6 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 15 | 34.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa10x0509…6e98 | No | 12 | 36.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.20 per $100 · 2,298 bets |
| anon012790x69ae…f469 | Yes | 5 | 58.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 5 | 25.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 5 | 52.0¢ | $3 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9b7a…ad1f | No | 7 | 69.8¢ | $2 | — |
| djliveris0x3bfb…d014 | No | 7 | 70.6¢ | $2 | — |
| statham.420690x35aa…ba97 | Yes | 3 | 37.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6b92…b61f | Yes | 3 | 57.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.19 per $100 · 203 bets |
| 0xd660…e8d9 | No | 5 | 66.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Frezer1990x5a8c…14aa | No | 4 | 69.6¢ | $1 | — |
| TimSheHe0xf006…bb6c | No | 4 | 63.0¢ | $1 | — |
| echoseven0xd959…81b1 | Yes | 2 | 54.7¢ | $1 | — |
| DFuk0xfc70…69bc | Yes | 2 | 58.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 3 | 67.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 3 | 37.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 1 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 3 | 42.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | Yes | 1 | 40.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 2 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| chchkykovich0x300a…c761 | No | 1 | 40.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 59.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 0 | 46.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,150 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 66.7¢ | $0 | — |
| wankerjoesleeper0xe51f…3b96 | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | Yes | 0 | 57.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 0 | 65.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,153 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 45.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.