Market · 18 of 29 outcomes
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 29 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4qfrankie0xefc9…b337 | No | 22,526 | 90.0¢ | $22.4K | Proven+$4.49 per $100 · 519 bets |
| StudyPrediction0x33bc…37dc | No | 3,275 | 88.2¢ | $3.25K | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 23,198 bets |
| legendofanime0x71f5…4cce | No | 2,350 | 88.9¢ | $2.33K | — |
| DavidTrezeguet0xc88e…f3e1 | No | 2,088 | 88.0¢ | $2.07K | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 651 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 1,658 | 89.3¢ | $1.65K | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 440 | 99.2¢ | $437 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| windscreenwipers0xa8f3…e544 | No | 200 | 88.0¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,716 bets |
| JUSTINHERBERTMVP0x86e9…4cdf | Yes | 22,328 | 10.5¢ | $167 | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 1,802 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 17,494 | 11.5¢ | $131 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 68 | 89.0¢ | $67 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| 0x476c…ce52 | No | 65 | 89.5¢ | $65 | Proven+$6.86 per $100 · 3,012 bets |
| Cobrah0x04a1…d6e6 | No | 57 | 88.3¢ | $57 | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 974 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 41 | 94.5¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| ddov0xfb0c…3dd5 | Yes | 4,533 | 11.3¢ | $34 | — |
| hampstar0xe922…39b3 | Yes | 3,640 | 11.0¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 4,185 bets |
| HuntersMethDealer0x3989…27b1 | Yes | 3,394 | 9.2¢ | $25 | Positive+$7.46 per $100 · 1,695 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 15 | 96.5¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | No | 10 | 90.3¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.98 per $100 · 1,237 bets |
| poalz170xe2f6…825a | No | 10 | 94.2¢ | $10 | — |
| TDwins0xf964…e224 | Yes | 769 | 13.3¢ | $6 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 610 | 1.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 500 | 1.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 478 | 2.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 408 | 2.5¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Dreeewcy0x3ca1…78b1 | Yes | 333 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 300 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| AlexHartdegen0x41a9…fce9 | Yes | 273 | 11.3¢ | $2 | — |
| dsadssss0xa7b5…ca2d | Yes | 260 | 12.5¢ | $2 | — |
| ARES694200xcf3f…6d9e | Yes | 250 | 8.4¢ | $2 | — |
| aodueh0x6435…e868 | Yes | 225 | 11.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.08 per $100 · 1,321 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 223 | 2.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| 420120xba8d…009d | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| NotWoke110x3ad8…5004 | Yes | 113 | 15.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 100 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 13,963 bets |
| Daflave0x0d5e…466f | Yes | 100 | 10.3¢ | $1 | — |
| kisforchaos0x3a8b…c9f8 | Yes | 100 | 10.3¢ | $1 | — |
| jbsmooth0xfdba…b26a | Yes | 92 | 12.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 70 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| GiovanniRonci0x8b61…8b1b | Yes | 68 | 10.5¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 56 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| THaze0240xca02…c3b4 | Yes | 50 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| jerryglz0xd4a8…5edf | Yes | 47 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 45 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| djliveris0x3bfb…d014 | Yes | 42 | 12.3¢ | $0 | — |
| roberto1990xfb3d…7e1a | Yes | 41 | 11.3¢ | $0 | — |
| RFTurtle0x1e6a…5afd | Yes | 30 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 25 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 22 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 14 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 10 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 0 | 90.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | No | 0 | 89.3¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 1 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| wapplegate0x2132…acbe | Yes | 1 | 11.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 1 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| ppking20x2a7e…9dc6 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 3,710 bets |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| trading.desk.test0xc419…ca5b | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 0 | 3.7¢ | $0 | — |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.