Market · 11 of 19 outcomes
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| johanliebert0xab8c…256e | No | 106 | 94.3¢ | $106 | — |
| casdfsa0xa886…cf55 | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 159,050 | 1.3¢ | $80 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 61 | 99.8¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| koninginhetuniverse0xa579…aad0 | Yes | 106,443 | 0.1¢ | $53 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 2,329 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 101,448 | 0.3¢ | $51 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 70,000 | 0.4¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Frenonski0xf784…ab48 | No | 30 | 99.1¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 49,568 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 45,796 | 1.1¢ | $23 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 45,366 | 1.1¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 45,197 | 0.5¢ | $23 | Proven+$8.57 per $100 · 7,249 bets |
| yupiiiiiiiii0x44a1…bd21 | Yes | 43,206 | 0.3¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 3,960 bets |
| mikecoin10x34b0…d620 | No | 21 | 99.8¢ | $21 | Proven+$5.87 per $100 · 253 bets |
| cryplor0x7b17…51b1 | Yes | 41,861 | 0.4¢ | $21 | Losing−$26.02 per $100 · 438 bets |
| destroyerlama0x1ddc…6f61 | No | 19 | 99.9¢ | $19 | New46 settled bets |
| Turbo-J0x43ac…efa9 | Yes | 37,500 | 0.2¢ | $19 | Positive+$36.07 per $100 · 261 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 36,728 | 0.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 31,333 | 1.1¢ | $16 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,360 bets |
| MarketCat0xb807…99cb | Yes | 30,000 | 0.3¢ | $15 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 26,928 | 1.2¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 25,907 | 1.1¢ | $13 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| cuuc0xbd0c…2c5a | No | 12 | 99.6¢ | $11 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 22,704 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 21,717 | 0.3¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| PMBONE0x4514…0ba5 | Yes | 21,550 | 0.1¢ | $11 | — |
| LazyJohnX0x2f85…05ff | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| erui0x248e…bc9c | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.3¢ | $10 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 19,101 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$3.69 per $100 · 144,760+ bets · updating |
| HerbertFarmer650xb8e4…ff6f | No | 9 | 99.8¢ | $9 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 16,053 | 1.1¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0x82b1…dcfd | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Anthony11490xd671…2caa | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Runner1090x6a67…df6f | Yes | 14,473 | 0.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 671 bets |
| KatherineHamilton610x2d73…6875 | No | 7 | 99.7¢ | $7 | — |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 13,740 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,606 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 13,497 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,703 bets |
| 0x7ea0…fece | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 12,923 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 293,648+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 12,895 | 1.1¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| 0x8829…06e0 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| souperman0x3e35…4f69 | Yes | 12,250 | 0.4¢ | $6 | New30 settled bets |
| Bergitrus0x1a24…ea88 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xdf3c…1c3d | Yes | 11,750 | 0.2¢ | $6 | — |
| shadownkin0x5599…205f | Yes | 11,680 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| benoitgagnon9970xe379…d124 | Yes | 11,276 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| MelissaWebster9590x9bde…bc60 | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| ErinWolfe9940xf359…3de9 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | 10,728 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 10,231 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| qcp60x374a…c231 | Yes | 10,052 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 774 bets |
| 0x765e…36dd | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| neymar10xf93f…f94b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.41 per $100 · 1,173 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 9,993 | 1.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| omnibus-00c8ef0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | 9,710 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.45 per $100 · 15,875 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 9,600 | 1.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$63.76 per $100 · 594 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 9,487 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,937 | 1.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 8,308 bets |
| AnastasiaMoore9510x8da0…b3d2 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 7,000 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 715 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 6,952 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,421 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |
| GeorgeSalinas3800x8e2f…01c7 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| AshleyColeman5670x3f69…80b2 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x792d…af4d | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.93 per $100 · 651 bets |
| Joar.sorli0x6482…385a | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Alan63110x80ca…201a | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| DonationsReceiver0x8476…5418 | Yes | 5,428 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 485 bets |
| AshleyThomas1050xcb51…4e1e | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4d36…cbfa | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| benbrugger44840x1bfc…0c7f | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Freya36070x0d75…edc6 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Cynthia72680x1f50…1cc1 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x130a…5eab | No | 2 | 100.7¢ | $2 | — |
| RitaSchmidt8980xbc13…b10e | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 94.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| Daniel15310x59e6…5743 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| AdrianMcCoy8040x0f4c…9a59 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 883b0x77e1…bf17 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ea870xc825…de3f | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| OliverMay280x1ce1…f781 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1746…6082 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Charlotte97490x3b02…8459 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| JinjuMO0xec3a…06b7 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb8ac…708d | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4bac…5e79 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 0 | 94.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 608 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 346 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 92.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.