Market · 11 of 23 outcomes
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 3,013 | 77.8¢ | $2.47K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 2,469 | 73.4¢ | $2.02K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,419 | 77.0¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 917 | 78.9¢ | $752 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 789 | 83.9¢ | $647 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,148 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 611 | 77.4¢ | $501 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 2,764 | 21.3¢ | $498 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,237 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 560 | 80.2¢ | $459 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,710 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 400 | 76.0¢ | $328 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 1,628 | 17.5¢ | $293 | Proven+$13.22 per $100 · 3,556 bets |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | 1,435 | 25.4¢ | $258 | Proven+$9.58 per $100 · 496 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 1,225 | 22.0¢ | $220 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,401 bets |
| Zenith-Nadir0x5d86…5073 | No | 162 | 75.4¢ | $133 | — |
| Lipo0x6d7e…a7b0 | No | 159 | 62.8¢ | $131 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 112 | 80.0¢ | $92 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| 98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF0xda91…9ffd | Yes | 500 | 22.0¢ | $90 | — |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | Yes | 500 | 32.7¢ | $90 | — |
| balabalababalabala0x2779…239a | Yes | 495 | 38.2¢ | $89 | Losing−$4.35 per $100 · 2,323 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 471 | 18.0¢ | $85 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 100 | 72.0¢ | $82 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 300 | 33.0¢ | $54 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 64 | 83.0¢ | $52 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 52 | 82.4¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 220 | 48.0¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,924 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 219 | 23.6¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| RobertCZ0xa0bb…2a16 | Yes | 200 | 17.0¢ | $36 | — |
| helpinghans0x6944…7275 | No | 40 | 53.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xf470…cbe1 | Yes | 178 | 21.2¢ | $32 | — |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 38 | 84.0¢ | $31 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| goldfinch-cz0xd7a4…8229 | Yes | 160 | 25.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 132 | 21.0¢ | $24 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | Yes | 128 | 27.1¢ | $23 | Losing−$12.55 per $100 · 4,926 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 26 | 82.9¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,029 bets |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 24 | 83.0¢ | $20 | New42 settled bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 20 | 83.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 20 | 53.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 20 | 81.0¢ | $16 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 91 | 27.1¢ | $16 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | Yes | 76 | 26.6¢ | $14 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 16 | 73.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 51 | 22.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 50 | 25.0¢ | $9 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 7,693 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 7,441 bets |
| RolandZhang0x0cd6…2784 | Yes | 45 | 19.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 218 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | Yes | 35 | 18.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 491 bets |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | Yes | 33 | 31.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| Abladollosac0x3e98…5389 | No | 7 | 73.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$25.39 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0x4365…e20a | Yes | 28 | 35.3¢ | $5 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 5 | 82.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 44.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x3245…7139 | Yes | 18 | 23.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1828…5bcc | No | 3 | 70.7¢ | $2 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 11 | 44.0¢ | $2 | — |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | No | 2 | 67.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | 10 | 23.0¢ | $2 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | Yes | 9 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 50,803 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 76.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | 6 | 21.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ajia0x2562…b6c2 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.25 per $100 · 896 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 5 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| 0xd43f…c66b | No | 1 | 76.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 3 | 17.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 3 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 1 | 78.5¢ | $1 | — |
| b570x4865…904d | No | 1 | 66.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 1 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 1 | 34.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Anony7770x3d77…7004 | Yes | 1 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 1 | 33.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Iltangbaek0xe3de…78dd | No | 0 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ttgh30x0755…4b83 | No | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | — |
| oliveiraielson0x50f4…04d4 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 562 bets |
| KZzzsj0x7c3f…ff8d | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8a63bE6F97A1dC4E83f5B2A7C19D4E60x8a63…1c02 | No | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sale27230xa5e0…6ead | No | 0 | 77.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 0 | 16.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,303 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0xc214…9731 | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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