Market · 20 of 71 outcomes
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 1,080 | 86.6¢ | $1.02K | Losing−$5.62 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| AJM960x85b8…6b6a | No | 460 | 84.0¢ | $435 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No | 444 | 90.4¢ | $420 | Proven+$2.53 per $100 · 1,508 bets |
| Aslan0xe6d8…3484 | No | 374 | 87.2¢ | $354 | — |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | No | 320 | 93.6¢ | $303 | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 185 | 93.8¢ | $175 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,177 bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 79 | 67.0¢ | $75 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 1,023 | 9.7¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 50 | 91.0¢ | $47 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 409 | 10.2¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 23 | 91.5¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,029 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 335 | 6.6¢ | $18 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 280 | 8.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 201 | 5.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 194 | 8.1¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 8.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 74 | 4.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | No | 4 | 89.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,840 bets |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 60 | 4.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$33.83 per $100 · 567 bets |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 56 | 7.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd327…8b97 | Yes | 45 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sunshines0xa7ee…421b | Yes | 40 | 26.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$7.74 per $100 · 320 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 39 | 10.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 29 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 24 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 4.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x2ba2…183d | Yes | 20 | 14.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3fe8…eee5 | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| KatherineHicks38640x0b2f…c453 | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 338 bets |
| 0x3c4f…b2be | Yes | 14 | 8.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.20 per $100 · 398 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 13 | 11.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 13 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 0x1fd0…c6a7 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 1,279 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 7 | 5.2¢ | $0 | New89 settled bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 88.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| JenniferVelasquez81850x72dd…8be4 | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbeff…da9f | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Snoopy1210x6a82…e2ad | Yes | 0 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Xyzeric0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | 0 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 93.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 29.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 0xe1d8…525f | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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