Market · 5 of 16 outcomes
Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 106.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 96.6¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 324 | 2.0¢ | $10 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 197 | 2.3¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 150 | 4.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,473+ bets · updating |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 40 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |