Market · 24 of 46 outcomes
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 08:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 8,196 | 89.3¢ | $7.64K | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 725 bets |
| naishz0r0xb891…e65a | No | 842 | 95.2¢ | $785 | New61 settled bets |
| AlphaGang0xda28…469b | No | 413 | 97.0¢ | $385 | — |
| Lepolo0x9127…6ff3 | No | 323 | 81.8¢ | $301 | Proven+$4.07 per $100 · 907 bets |
| 0xb4d1…4c60 | Yes | 2,040 | 11.0¢ | $138 | New79 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,895 | 18.2¢ | $128 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,098 bets |
| Seldon260x8030…7b74 | Yes | 1,858 | 22.1¢ | $125 | — |
| mocamoca0x45b2…cbc1 | Yes | 1,250 | 16.0¢ | $84 | Proven+$17.21 per $100 · 2,899 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 66 | 24.0¢ | $61 | New69 settled bets |
| MoonShootBets0x6491…74b2 | No | 49 | 71.0¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x2712…eb71 | No | 44 | 23.0¢ | $41 | — |
| Gohst-0x7447…4657 | Yes | 601 | 16.0¢ | $41 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | No | 40 | 84.9¢ | $37 | — |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No | 40 | 84.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 66,986 bets |
| Compound-570xfd47…805a | No | 31 | 96.0¢ | $29 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 309 | 18.2¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Xavnorge0xa98f…33b3 | No | 20 | 92.1¢ | $19 | — |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 265 | 76.1¢ | $18 | New39 settled bets |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | Yes | 229 | 77.1¢ | $15 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 224 | 7.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.93 per $100 · 8,497 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 216 | 75.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 171 | 9.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| 0x4d52…9194 | Yes | 159 | 15.5¢ | $11 | — |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 11 | 89.9¢ | $10 | — |
| wynfo0x25c4…4b12 | No | 11 | 94.5¢ | $10 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 131 | 2.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | No | 9 | 24.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 9 | 92.6¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 120 | 11.2¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,090 bets |
| ReefWhale0xa0c0…4378 | No | 9 | 93.1¢ | $8 | — |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 100 | 73.0¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 96 | 7.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,579+ bets · updating |
| 0x6706…2341 | Yes | 93 | 15.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 992 bets |
| Cassandra-Unchained0x4e48…a96d | No | 6 | 87.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf610…741c | Yes | 65 | 15.6¢ | $4 | — |
| florenzolama0xb5b8…09d7 | Yes | 44 | 6.5¢ | $3 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 35 | 7.6¢ | $2 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 10.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,418 bets |
| weshmaggle0xf973…f6e5 | Yes | 30 | 9.8¢ | $2 | — |
| kiddddddd0x0044…cb2c | No | 2 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 25 | 6.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 20 | 11.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.79 per $100 · 111,933 bets |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | No | 1 | 22.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 1 | 91.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6E6172616B610xa093…7e5c | Yes | 15 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6045…3530 | Yes | 15 | 13.8¢ | $1 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 15 | 55.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x17cb…4088 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Serseya0xcd98…129c | Yes | 13 | 77.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xab7e…1a5f | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 1 | 86.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.96 per $100 · 112,487 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 9 | 13.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,063 bets |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | No | 1 | 85.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x36af…175f | Yes | 7 | 84.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TonnyPusher0x5968…1d08 | Yes | 7 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 5 | 20.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.69 per $100 · 13,398 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 5 | 8.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 5 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| AnonymeD0xced9…4e81 | Yes | 4 | 48.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 0 | 83.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 359 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 2 | 13.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.46 per $100 · 2,486 bets |
| ssssss12230x9cfd…dfe7 | Yes | 2 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FoolAndHisMoney0x85df…fb48 | Yes | 1 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,193 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 132,031 bets |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 0 | 82.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,789 bets |
| 0x2284…b334 | Yes | 0 | 15.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ludka2280x3797…8be6 | Yes | 0 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| SERGIOSAN0xe593…2c59 | Yes | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.