Market · 14 of 15 outcomes
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 2,799 | 94.2¢ | $2.71K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 723 bets |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 281 | 32.0¢ | $273 | — |
| defoncetout0x526d…fb92 | No | 93 | 92.3¢ | $91 | New79 settled bets |
| sety0x0a2a…6eab | No | 60 | 94.3¢ | $58 | — |
| Andromaque3990xeea7…d491 | No | 40 | 91.9¢ | $39 | — |
| 0x2712…eb71 | No | 34 | 23.0¢ | $33 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 999 | 5.9¢ | $31 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 552 | 12.0¢ | $17 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 475 | 18.1¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | No | 12 | 26.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 356 | 7.1¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 94.6¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 3,143 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 200 | 68.9¢ | $6 | New69 settled bets |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | No | 4 | 6.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 104 | 26.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,282 bets |
| ThomasSDCC0x2d08…228e | Yes | 100 | 10.4¢ | $3 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | 100 | 4.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | No | 3 | 27.0¢ | $3 | — |
| dsoisoij0x2099…3024 | No | 3 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.03 per $100 · 7,043 bets |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | Yes | 67 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 60 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| QMINE0x31bc…c2d0 | Yes | 57 | 87.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 50 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd82f…0274 | Yes | 50 | 44.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Seldon260x8030…7b74 | Yes | 43 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xab7e…1a5f | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 22 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 48.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,576 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 17 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 14 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe1d7…6f7c | Yes | 11 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 4,068 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 10 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf156…8fbc | Yes | 7 | 76.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe1ec…f7db | No | 0 | 54.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 3 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 3 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| sssfff20x2654…b45f | Yes | 1 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8e07…d9f7 | Yes | 1 | 93.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 0 | 25.4¢ | $0 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | No | 0 | 26.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 37sfdsfsdfds0x1e30…49ae | Yes | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| gavinfunda0xb924…0803 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.