Market · 38 of 71 outcomes
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 1,222 | 93.4¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,131 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 140 | 87.0¢ | $134 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| MeganSimpson68140x8f52…a35a | No | 102 | 90.2¢ | $98 | — |
| longtermgains0xebdc…bf08 | No | 50 | 92.0¢ | $48 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 429 | 6.5¢ | $17 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 222 | 3.6¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 204 | 16.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,990 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 200 | 23.5¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 125 | 5.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| stacia0xb1c4…293d | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | No | 4 | 90.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 106 | 3.1¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 105 | 9.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 47 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| no1biao0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | 39 | 14.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Lockmat0x6d5f…e1ad | Yes | 29 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe2db…abfd | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 10 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | 7 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| humbleBaker0x1237…06af | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| ChristineWilson34320x4faa…fecf | Yes | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.87 per $100 · 131,910 bets |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 1 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| 0x68ca…9d92 | Yes | 0 | 12.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.