Market · 12 of 16 outcomes
Will Joe Espada win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 183 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 147 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 121 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,739 bets |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 105 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 97 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| HenriIV0x8d85…726f | Yes | 95 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 60 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 40 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 26 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.43 per $100 · 23,853 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 25 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,197 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 22 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 20 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 12 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 11 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 10 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 160,136 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 8 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 7 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.72 per $100 · 59,050 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Monstredu380xcba1…b4e2 | Yes | 5 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| coldhot0x6854…67d0 | Yes | 4 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 2 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 2 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.