Market · 1 of 46 outcomes
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 1,489 | 92.3¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| spx110xff36…e757 | Yes | 1,000 | 94.2¢ | $939 | Proven+$10.51 per $100 · 174 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 962 | 92.8¢ | $903 | New69 settled bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 605 | 93.2¢ | $568 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| SwiftieRicky0x2076…4dc1 | Yes | 200 | 90.0¢ | $188 | — |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | Yes | 199 | 85.5¢ | $187 | — |
| korETHja0xb5f6…adc3 | Yes | 183 | 92.3¢ | $171 | — |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 143 | 91.1¢ | $134 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | Yes | 105 | 95.7¢ | $99 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | No | 1,147 | 1.0¢ | $71 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 64 | 91.0¢ | $60 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| maddersky0xee95…7c45 | No | 800 | 6.0¢ | $49 | — |
| Xavnorge0xa98f…33b3 | Yes | 50 | 91.8¢ | $47 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 42 | 95.7¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | No | 529 | 4.6¢ | $33 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | No | 500 | 1.4¢ | $31 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 30 | 93.5¢ | $28 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 369 | 1.4¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| lutinfacetieux0x4b5c…6276 | No | 364 | 11.2¢ | $22 | — |
| Marco740xa4bc…25bd | No | 353 | 4.4¢ | $22 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 23 | 93.8¢ | $22 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 48.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| FrozenTomato0x9d06…c4e8 | Yes | 18 | 95.0¢ | $17 | — |
| petogo0xc396…348d | Yes | 13 | 97.0¢ | $13 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 195 | 1.2¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Tonnic0x150c…1c8d | No | 190 | 6.1¢ | $12 | — |
| Petitpere0x5824…8635 | Yes | 10 | 97.4¢ | $10 | — |
| wac450xf94f…ffc0 | No | 152 | 5.6¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x2712…eb71 | No | 125 | 8.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 97 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | Yes | 6 | 78.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | No | 87 | 6.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8875…2bad | Yes | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| datstony0x6157…f94d | Yes | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x6717…0ff9 | Yes | 5 | 94.2¢ | $5 | — |
| wildboar080xb260…9d59 | Yes | 5 | 94.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xe936…2c27 | No | 74 | 7.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf560…ea74 | No | 63 | 5.0¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 4 | 89.5¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Mattia.Ilenotti0x0934…f376 | No | 45 | 28.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | Yes | 2 | 94.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2dfb…4387 | Yes | 2 | 95.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | No | 25 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Chococremeux0x08a6…f3cc | No | 17 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| YesManLucky380x91e2…3c51 | Yes | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 16 | 5.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| redwulf270x1433…153c | No | 15 | 6.8¢ | $1 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 3.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | No | 9 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdce7…8bcf | Yes | 1 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 1 | 5.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | No | 0 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| highfiveHQ0x5c91…5ccc | No | 0 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.