Market · 19 of 71 outcomes
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 1,387 | 79.8¢ | $1.31K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No | 1,347 | 89.0¢ | $1.27K | Proven+$2.53 per $100 · 1,508 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 700 | 88.5¢ | $659 | — |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 632 | 91.6¢ | $596 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 0x2d72…cca4 | No | 420 | 74.3¢ | $396 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 176 bets |
| littlebird0x202b…971a | No | 326 | 84.0¢ | $308 | Losing−$27.72 per $100 · 173 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 228 | 93.6¢ | $215 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| Aslan0xe6d8…3484 | No | 173 | 86.9¢ | $163 | — |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | No | 160 | 93.0¢ | $151 | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 94 | 87.6¢ | $88 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 1,022 | 3.1¢ | $59 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| DImmanuel746350x87bb…f672 | No | 61 | 94.0¢ | $57 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 54 | 92.0¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| WWE0090x4808…f10f | Yes | 806 | 12.8¢ | $47 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 652 | 7.4¢ | $38 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 453 | 9.3¢ | $26 | New89 settled bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 418 | 15.7¢ | $24 | Proven+$13.23 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | Yes | 327 | 7.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 20 | 92.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| HankS0xc877…05b4 | No | 20 | 54.0¢ | $19 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $19 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 217 | 10.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| Lisbon0x8055…44c4 | No | 11 | 94.3¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 641 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 142 | 3.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 138 | 6.1¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| annakarl0x0707…310a | No | 8 | 81.0¢ | $8 | — |
| varch010x0362…449e | Yes | 134 | 44.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| 0x8589…0d2b | Yes | 128 | 15.7¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x8026…2f99 | Yes | 120 | 17.8¢ | $7 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 114 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x9713…e093 | No | 6 | 82.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 6 | 83.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| amango0x3710…2b8d | Yes | 95 | 36.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 675 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 80 | 4.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| 0x35df…cf97 | Yes | 73 | 11.4¢ | $4 | New88 settled bets |
| Scroogie0xb634…eefa | Yes | 60 | 33.2¢ | $3 | — |
| HexFragLord0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | 59 | 17.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$32.62 per $100 · 120 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 48 | 10.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8193…a0d7 | Yes | 41 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 11.2¢ | $2 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 32 | 9.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 32 | 28.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0xac46…1a3b | Yes | 26 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cecilekabuubi0x0652…6c3b | No | 2 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x62f0…ef27 | Yes | 25 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Kernkraft30000xf34e…6ec7 | Yes | 24 | 42.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 23 | 7.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Crocoflex0xcc38…5bb2 | Yes | 21 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 21 | 7.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 6.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| CryptoBaggins0x68d8…af58 | Yes | 20 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 787630x878d…1a9b | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | Yes | 18 | 11.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe124…f4ba | No | 1 | 85.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Zeekore0xaa5c…4401 | Yes | 16 | 31.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 50testreward0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | 16 | 5.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Centaurspencer0x5939…7560 | Yes | 15 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x15c8…62ae | Yes | 14 | 14.5¢ | $1 | — |
| zadymiarz0x44af…c7dd | Yes | 13 | 38.0¢ | $1 | — |
| No-Luck0xde6b…7178 | Yes | 12 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| badmedicine0x02d6…796d | Yes | 10 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| betonsol0x9e6b…7cf3 | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | 9 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ImmobileZombie0xc7e4…9c07 | Yes | 8 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| kat.tanaka0x2978…dd27 | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| saharnotsarah.eth0xd260…54a1 | Yes | 6 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Maci0xbf84…57f9 | Yes | 6 | 17.6¢ | $0 | — |
| degbetting0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | 6 | 17.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Gan6660xbd2a…db9a | Yes | 6 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xad99…dbab | No | 0 | 85.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 333tdd0x72ab…1a3e | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DeepDitch0xaa81…aaf7 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.