Market · 53 of 71 outcomes
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | No | 1,179 | 79.6¢ | $1.15K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 616 | 93.3¢ | $599 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 521 | 91.5¢ | $506 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | No | 40 | 93.3¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 23 | 94.9¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,004 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 650 | 20.0¢ | $18 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 351 | 12.3¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| 0xa848…8a1f | Yes | 276 | 14.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 237 | 6.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 217 | 7.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 206 | 4.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 66 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 55 | 13.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 44 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 39 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,071 bets |
| JenniferVelasquez81850x72dd…8be4 | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JadeReeves47640xa647…d77d | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 7 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 25oodksmsss090x3bef…f04e | Yes | 2 | 15.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 3,550 bets |
| BlakeDiaz11510xc895…9bfa | Yes | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| keybo0xc71b…e265 | Yes | 1 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 6kaqvibe0x39c8…d5e7 | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 333tdd0x72ab…1a3e | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50000Harry0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5bca…a34e | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x690a…2ea7 | Yes | 0 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,840 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 40 shares each side · Show
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