Market · 2 of 23 outcomes
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | No | 1,939 | 57.5¢ | $1.11K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,000 | 53.0¢ | $425 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,107 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 928 | 51.7¢ | $394 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,285 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 626 | 52.5¢ | $360 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 488 bets |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | No | 390 | 51.0¢ | $224 | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 500 | 53.0¢ | $213 | Positive+$3.98 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 350 | 51.0¢ | $201 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 368 | 48.3¢ | $156 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 158 | 52.1¢ | $67 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 148 | 51.7¢ | $63 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 743 bets |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 81 | 53.9¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| SakuraDevil0x0c3c…5eea | Yes | 100 | 41.0¢ | $42 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 92 | 43.7¢ | $39 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| CloudFile100xd97d…d7d8 | No | 55 | 46.6¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 69 | 56.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,079 bets |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | Yes | 60 | 42.1¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | No | 38 | 53.0¢ | $22 | — |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | No | 38 | 53.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 40 | 57.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| pump.princess0x3fa1…89df | No | 26 | 53.0¢ | $15 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 54.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 22 | 56.6¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 28 | 49.5¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 70.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| lyx19910xef49…447c | No | 20 | 68.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 20 | 57.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x6706…2341 | No | 19 | 52.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 990 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 20 | 54.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 20 | 44.3¢ | $9 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | Yes | 20 | 57.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 19 | 52.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 16 | 57.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | 15 | 47.2¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,596 bets |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | No | 11 | 46.7¢ | $6 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 52.0¢ | $6 | — |
| nk130x1e1b…0c00 | No | 10 | 55.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | 10 | 52.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.12 per $100 · 2,243 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 10 | 43.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Spielermann0x0c93…aafa | Yes | 9 | 61.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.81 per $100 · 320 bets |
| lulu2130xa25e…2dd7 | No | 5 | 53.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | 7 | 52.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 7 | 49.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| 0x4c9e…4449 | No | 5 | 53.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 234 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 6 | 54.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 4 | 52.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 77kbCcPrd2uG8w0x8dde…5045 | Yes | 5 | 54.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 174 bets |
| 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | 5 | 47.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.56 per $100 · 10,587 bets |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | 5 | 44.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 817 bets |
| 0x2650…44f7 | Yes | 5 | 60.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 1,761 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 4 | 45.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | No | 3 | 35.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | Yes | 4 | 44.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe5ec…5c81 | Yes | 3 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | No | 2 | 52.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | Yes | 0 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 0 | 53.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 70.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | No | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Paulymarketer0x82eb…f2b4 | Yes | 0 | 64.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.