Market · 9 of 23 outcomes
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 400 | 86.5¢ | $324 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,107 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,333 | 29.5¢ | $253 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| autisem0xea41…1c98 | No | 282 | 70.8¢ | $229 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 245 | 79.8¢ | $198 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 240 | 79.0¢ | $194 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,286 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 200 | 79.0¢ | $162 | — |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | No | 173 | 81.9¢ | $140 | New41 settled bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 159 | 86.0¢ | $129 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 152 | 83.1¢ | $123 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | No | 139 | 80.1¢ | $113 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 80 | 79.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 79 | 77.5¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 322 | 29.6¢ | $61 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 299 | 21.8¢ | $57 | — |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | No | 56 | 77.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 743 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 51 | 80.0¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 50 | 84.0¢ | $41 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 37 | 78.4¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 156 | 19.4¢ | $30 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 32 | 70.1¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 26 | 78.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 2,209 bets |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 23 | 86.0¢ | $19 | New42 settled bets |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | No | 21 | 86.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 56fgh4j15g0x00b5…1b11 | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $16 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 79.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 80 | 30.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | No | 18 | 79.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,596 bets |
| Spielermann0x0c93…aafa | No | 17 | 80.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.81 per $100 · 320 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 70 | 39.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 15 | 78.0¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 13 | 82.8¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| 0xd1f8…73ab | No | 13 | 79.0¢ | $10 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 50 | 25.3¢ | $9 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 81.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 81.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 9 | 80.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| One-Eyed.Jack0x15e6…b38a | Yes | 40 | 30.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 40 | 31.0¢ | $8 | — |
| memorymaker20490x9259…c2d3 | Yes | 40 | 39.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3e8a…0f61 | Yes | 38 | 25.8¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.75 per $100 · 6,667 bets |
| KG0080xb7c0…8ef2 | No | 8 | 47.7¢ | $6 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 29 | 34.2¢ | $6 | — |
| ccyy20260x4282…3455 | No | 7 | 80.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 1,702 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 27 | 41.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 6 | 81.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 6 | 77.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 89.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | No | 5 | 80.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 817 bets |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | No | 5 | 82.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x2650…44f7 | No | 5 | 81.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 1,761 bets |
| 0x13e1…0805 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $4 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,922 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | $4 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 4 | 75.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 13 | 23.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | Yes | 10 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 10 | 23.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | 2 | 81.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd011…e928 | No | 2 | 82.0¢ | $1 | — |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 1 | 73.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 82.0¢ | $1 | — |
| simmmy0x2b9a…f6e9 | Yes | 5 | 56.0¢ | $1 | — |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| preciseploys0x3492…7f3b | Yes | 3 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 2 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 6,492 bets |
| fastandfudurious0x305d…c253 | Yes | 1 | 19.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 1 | 22.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 14,475 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 1 | 58.5¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 1 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 1 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 0 | 13.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| romanew-crypto0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
| scalerr0xe50e…45c5 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 60 shares each side · Show
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