Market · 4 of 16 outcomes
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | No | 1,479 | 99.0¢ | $1.46K | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| 0x6f5a…92bf | Yes | 51,617 | 0.5¢ | $490 | — |
| Distprter0x2e95…b333 | No | 303 | 99.0¢ | $300 | — |
| antelillo0xc9fb…d630 | Yes | 29,085 | 0.3¢ | $276 | — |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | No | 144 | 99.0¢ | $143 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,650 | 0.2¢ | $63 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| just-a-gambler0x891a…75ac | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $48 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 4,727 | 1.7¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| presspablo0x4c7f…3afb | Yes | 4,424 | 0.7¢ | $42 | — |
| acmzsk0x0ef8…0dc3 | Yes | 4,277 | 1.3¢ | $41 | — |
| yidi0x96bf…5a4f | No | 38 | 99.0¢ | $38 | — |
| Drakucesar0x9028…43c8 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.2¢ | $28 | — |
| AbsoluteDestroyer0x66bc…25c9 | Yes | 2,890 | 0.4¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x4449…a1f9 | Yes | 2,714 | 0.4¢ | $26 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 25 | 98.8¢ | $25 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| EleanorEleanor0x773f…ed10 | No | 22 | 99.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 20 | 98.9¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 2,044 | 1.3¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| jrmbzh0x47f8…d13c | Yes | 1,920 | 0.9¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x4508…011c | Yes | 1,577 | 7.3¢ | $15 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,340 | 1.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| LoyalBeggar0x7398…12f1 | Yes | 1,328 | 0.8¢ | $13 | — |
| iouirudfcgvbjh0x65d0…db29 | No | 12 | 99.8¢ | $12 | — |
| cryson0x1b05…5dbb | Yes | 1,250 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,161 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,120 | 1.7¢ | $11 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,148 bets |
| edenlilu0xe32e…b06e | No | 10 | 97.0¢ | $10 | — |
| antocoin0x17b4…4d48 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| jfdsgj343dhf0x5de6…daff | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0f7l492ysa4r30xd15d…7832 | Yes | 1,036 | 0.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Landiuss0x0b48…0415 | Yes | 900 | 0.7¢ | $9 | — |
| onichan7u70xe332…af02 | Yes | 879 | 4.7¢ | $8 | — |
| cyfg0xc13a…7ff2 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| jsdfsdfbdfbfg0x63f9…9bcf | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| reytgsgdzd4fdhhh0xac0b…4602 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x6d64…d500 | Yes | 821 | 0.6¢ | $8 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 818 | 1.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| vsachy0x7d31…57f4 | Yes | 742 | 3.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Maikel.Nait0x9fcd…68ed | Yes | 740 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| ngjdinf0x0657…609c | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| KDFUF9EVBYU0x42fd…b633 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 027100860x3cb8…2591 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| uueyuecv0x60c2…7022 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| hjfgyrty0xdc6d…f74d | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| idhgfhhh60xec51…45ac | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| SDSmhj0x2388…5585 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 9897867567545350x986e…f3cd | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| dfhbfgnfn43ffd0xac37…f243 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | New81 settled bets |
| lzs90x6db3…677d | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Cyclope132000xd18f…ec55 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Gabrielgarciadt0x96ed…9a63 | Yes | 411 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 364 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$12.17 per $100 · 3,925 bets |
| DrS80x03bc…530c | Yes | 359 | 1.1¢ | $3 | — |
| HombrePorro0x459d…f625 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x6cb9…4a5d | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| aknetwork0xbb7c…82f2 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 296 | 1.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 261 | 1.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| panterooo0x930c…25d6 | Yes | 251 | 4.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf4c6…9899 | Yes | 222 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2b26…88a3 | Yes | 214 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 2 | 92.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| guay2xd0x2971…0573 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 170 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe334…b195 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 117 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 101 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 89 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,436 bets |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | 78 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 34 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| jejejejej0x6520…12d9 | Yes | 30 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.81 per $100 · 29,827+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 10 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.