Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 13,338 | 84.3¢ | $12K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| alwaysOn0xc550…272d | No | 13,229 | 86.3¢ | $11.9K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,030 bets |
| agagyu0x2136…ee56 | No | 13,006 | 88.1¢ | $11.7K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 178 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 13,000 | 88.8¢ | $11.7K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 4,581 | 89.7¢ | $4.13K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 32,850 | 12.3¢ | $3.27K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | No | 3,589 | 83.5¢ | $3.23K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 3,047 | 89.2¢ | $2.74K | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 2,097 | 85.0¢ | $1.89K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| gods-eye0x1086…27d2 | Yes | 14,819 | 12.6¢ | $1.47K | New67 settled bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | No | 1,500 | 83.7¢ | $1.35K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| jesus9110x8c8a…e62a | Yes | 10,372 | 14.8¢ | $1.03K | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 920 | 87.8¢ | $828 | — |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | No | 882 | 84.1¢ | $794 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 4,552 bets |
| 123454320xe2cd…3897 | No | 818 | 87.1¢ | $736 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 677 | 87.4¢ | $609 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | No | 607 | 86.2¢ | $546 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| Hellboy-winner0x6045…7304 | No | 546 | 87.4¢ | $491 | — |
| mdorup0x9d4a…5887 | No | 531 | 87.5¢ | $478 | New10 settled bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | No | 500 | 84.7¢ | $450 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | No | 500 | 85.4¢ | $450 | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| merch0x45e8…cc6c | No | 417 | 88.7¢ | $376 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 309 bets |
| 0x598e…9d4f | No | 343 | 87.6¢ | $308 | New95 settled bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 2,759 | 18.6¢ | $275 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 3,292 bets |
| onthewave0xc302…f388 | No | 288 | 86.9¢ | $259 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 201 bets |
| NicholasWilkins35560x88f1…8e46 | No | 281 | 74.0¢ | $253 | — |
| dfupagain0x768f…c7bd | No | 231 | 86.5¢ | $208 | — |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 222 | 87.4¢ | $200 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 204 | 86.6¢ | $184 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 200 | 87.3¢ | $180 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| lilili990xbc7c…c08e | No | 200 | 87.5¢ | $180 | — |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 200 | 84.3¢ | $180 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | No | 200 | 81.5¢ | $180 | — |
| tandjlover0xd542…f187 | No | 196 | 84.1¢ | $176 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 178 | 89.0¢ | $160 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| 0xce5f…1912 | Yes | 1,550 | 14.3¢ | $154 | New41 settled bets |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 1,379 | 10.0¢ | $137 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 1,362 | 13.8¢ | $136 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 150 | 88.1¢ | $135 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 148 | 87.5¢ | $133 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 115 | 85.8¢ | $104 | — |
| chingata0x18fe…32fb | No | 115 | 86.5¢ | $104 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 104 | 88.9¢ | $93 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x9c2d…17d9 | No | 100 | 86.7¢ | $90 | — |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | No | 100 | 89.0¢ | $90 | — |
| 0x7172…102a | Yes | 887 | 16.9¢ | $88 | — |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 94 | 86.3¢ | $84 | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| PcMYjCcPrd5yb35I0xb4e5…b668 | No | 93 | 88.3¢ | $84 | — |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | No | 89 | 89.3¢ | $80 | — |
| 0x223b…85df | Yes | 757 | 15.1¢ | $75 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 724 | 18.3¢ | $72 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 77 | 88.4¢ | $69 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 77 | 65.0¢ | $69 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | No | 77 | 90.0¢ | $69 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| KakiBatusik0x371c…c236 | Yes | 685 | 12.8¢ | $68 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 632 | 10.5¢ | $63 | — |
| psk6660x61af…c770 | No | 69 | 87.2¢ | $62 | — |
| DeLeeuw0x9517…f0b3 | No | 68 | 91.0¢ | $61 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 593 | 10.8¢ | $59 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| BS-SA-JJ-Team0x40f1…15f9 | Yes | 586 | 33.0¢ | $58 | — |
| 0x0371…3683 | Yes | 585 | 28.5¢ | $58 | New24 settled bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 578 | 11.3¢ | $58 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Faquarl0x4ea6…b249 | Yes | 572 | 17.5¢ | $57 | — |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 550 | 10.3¢ | $55 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| leetbetter0x974b…b29b | No | 60 | 84.0¢ | $54 | — |
| FatCat050xb86a…c1d8 | Yes | 534 | 18.7¢ | $53 | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 500 | 15.2¢ | $50 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| ClearMove0xd7f1…73cd | Yes | 500 | 15.4¢ | $50 | Positive+$12.07 per $100 · 1,186 bets |
| BanditDown0x0fff…c93a | No | 53 | 94.0¢ | $48 | — |
| Arkansaskansas0x5539…9e2f | No | 53 | 94.0¢ | $48 | — |
| flyingpotemkin0x9fc4…50c5 | No | 53 | 94.0¢ | $48 | — |
| Avitz330x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | 455 | 10.2¢ | $45 | Proven+$13.01 per $100 · 1,255 bets |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | Yes | 361 | 12.5¢ | $36 | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| ProtocolSignalOverNoise0xd8be…3bb1 | Yes | 317 | 12.6¢ | $32 | — |
| MamiFlushme0x3096…58a3 | Yes | 207 | 13.1¢ | $21 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 206 | 30.7¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| 0x3105…eeb3 | Yes | 200 | 15.0¢ | $20 | — |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 200 | 14.2¢ | $20 | — |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 200 | 12.6¢ | $20 | — |
| sentientsnake0x105c…b786 | Yes | 199 | 13.8¢ | $20 | — |
| WildBillz0xbb8d…d546 | Yes | 196 | 25.6¢ | $19 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 184 | 10.6¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xbf01…5ee9 | Yes | 175 | 14.4¢ | $17 | — |
| BestBarak0xcb27…9668 | Yes | 172 | 18.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 154 | 11.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 149 | 11.4¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| ManAreBrave0x58c6…d759 | Yes | 105 | 14.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa809…70d6 | Yes | 104 | 24.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Mrx090x5bbb…481b | Yes | 102 | 13.2¢ | $10 | — |
| rolller0x3b7b…2d1a | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Faston0xa7fe…1f3e | Yes | 100 | 13.1¢ | $10 | — |
| Brendanayxu0xdab0…3d70 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $10 | New6 settled bets |
| MatrimChauton0x983a…9e29 | Yes | 78 | 12.9¢ | $8 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 76 | 10.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xa1c7…bdbb | Yes | 74 | 13.6¢ | $7 | New83 settled bets |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | Yes | 73 | 20.5¢ | $7 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| 0x9fc3…1f1f | Yes | 70 | 14.9¢ | $7 | — |
| araeyv10xfb9a…8bc4 | Yes | 70 | 14.3¢ | $7 | — |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | 56 | 12.6¢ | $6 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 53 | 34.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.