Market · 32 of 71 outcomes
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 5,083 | 89.3¢ | $4.86K | — |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 2,009 | 91.7¢ | $1.92K | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,747 bets |
| charliealmanack0xa3a3…c2f9 | No | 1,571 | 91.9¢ | $1.5K | Proven+$10.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 619 | 94.9¢ | $591 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | No | 513 | 94.4¢ | $490 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| TheHorrorsPersistButSoDoI0xa706…42f0 | No | 170 | 93.4¢ | $162 | — |
| Michajlowski0xda63…b031 | Yes | 3,200 | 3.1¢ | $142 | — |
| LatinaConqueror0x1d7c…51b6 | No | 105 | 95.6¢ | $100 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 619 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 100 | 94.2¢ | $96 | Losing−$5.62 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 88 | 94.3¢ | $84 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 77 | 94.4¢ | $73 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| space69cowboy0x5440…87af | Yes | 1,627 | 14.0¢ | $72 | — |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 62 | 90.4¢ | $59 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| garnichevs0xc089…3a18 | No | 55 | 96.2¢ | $53 | — |
| visssageVOL0xc87c…667a | No | 51 | 96.6¢ | $49 | — |
| yasosbiby0xe272…e1c7 | No | 51 | 96.1¢ | $49 | — |
| for-the-lulz0x61e2…4958 | Yes | 1,043 | 4.8¢ | $46 | Losing−$97.69 per $100 · 135 bets |
| 0x0a2c…15c4 | Yes | 1,000 | 11.4¢ | $45 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | No | 40 | 94.9¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x4d0e…407a | Yes | 826 | 6.3¢ | $37 | — |
| hamburgersol0x4f66…6d2d | Yes | 782 | 13.2¢ | $35 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 30 | 94.5¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 98,025+ bets · updating |
| EllaGerret0xf9ca…bab9 | No | 20 | 95.6¢ | $20 | — |
| CelestialwxNebula0x3a78…a5aa | No | 20 | 95.5¢ | $19 | — |
| rivermarkets0x1223…d424 | Yes | 430 | 15.5¢ | $19 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 389 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 20 | 96.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| ThunderijStallion0xe64c…671a | No | 16 | 95.6¢ | $15 | — |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 16 | 94.5¢ | $15 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| 2569opp330x0973…2cd1 | No | 15 | 95.6¢ | $15 | — |
| CrimsonmnPhoenix0xbfaf…d733 | No | 15 | 95.6¢ | $15 | — |
| AutumnabSpice0x7eca…e70c | No | 15 | 95.6¢ | $15 | — |
| SilverghMessenger0x535f…b0d0 | No | 15 | 95.6¢ | $15 | — |
| SolarklDust0xf14c…08be | No | 15 | 95.6¢ | $15 | — |
| ObsidianopHunter0xaa60…feeb | No | 15 | 95.6¢ | $15 | — |
| EdwardJha0xb748…8ed7 | No | 13 | 95.5¢ | $12 | — |
| deranged0xe367…7e04 | Yes | 273 | 4.7¢ | $12 | — |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 12 | 88.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| AmaltheaElowyn0xa9d5…91cb | No | 12 | 95.5¢ | $11 | — |
| EldwinStephen0x736e…756f | No | 11 | 95.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 242 | 4.1¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| ssFirefly0x4313…b6d3 | No | 11 | 95.6¢ | $11 | — |
| AzureabGull0x9bc4…ae50 | No | 11 | 95.6¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xa0b6…99b1 | No | 11 | 95.6¢ | $10 | — |
| AutumnwxGlow0x30aa…e323 | No | 11 | 95.6¢ | $10 | — |
| axiol0x8217…4936 | No | 11 | 96.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 7,573 bets |
| AutumnstBranch0x4e9a…ff75 | No | 11 | 95.6¢ | $10 | — |
| GoldenstFlame0x668c…27a1 | No | 10 | 95.5¢ | $10 | — |
| StephenNayar0xa4c0…a36e | No | 10 | 95.5¢ | $10 | — |
| MidpointuvWatch0xd73b…5837 | No | 10 | 95.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | No | 10 | 95.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 13,990 bets |
| TAOBAO0x3eef…c865 | No | 10 | 96.3¢ | $9 | — |
| RobertPandey0xca2e…d657 | No | 8 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| UriahOctavian0x8fdd…a5e8 | No | 8 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| AaronCohen0xaef5…bdd3 | No | 8 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| jackylulu0x1080…36ca | No | 7 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| VictoriaVarma0x6fcd…417b | No | 7 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| ShiraLev0xcfbc…ac70 | No | 7 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| EmilyChopra0x6228…dc8f | No | 7 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| CassandraCeleste0x4751…994e | No | 7 | 95.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xec85…8ba8 | Yes | 151 | 7.5¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 122 | 5.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 111 | 6.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 22,069 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 5.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| verbo0x4d01…992b | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $4 | New12 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 89 | 9.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 80 | 4.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Crocoflex0xcc38…5bb2 | Yes | 51 | 6.1¢ | $2 | — |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 36 | 5.2¢ | $2 | New89 settled bets |
| clausemaster0x9b68…b64b | Yes | 29 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 23 | 5.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| 0x0d60…7f6b | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x291f…859e | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2b02…be90 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2b59…61be | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x406a…fa60 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x43c3…2855 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x677a…0c51 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x75fd…0ab8 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x807d…9f48 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8189…2b95 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x973e…1e23 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac83…14f1 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb876…c55a | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc73c…ca88 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc921…1674 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdc29…e334 | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xed4e…aa7d | Yes | 21 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x376f…387a | Yes | 20 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Testmomok20xe3b9…2f03 | Yes | 20 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2f5a…0a76 | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x31db…e37d | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x435c…dd39 | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5483…1a7d | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x811f…bc7c | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8278…29a5 | Yes | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd236…c0d4 | Yes | 19 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe2ca…4f65 | Yes | 19 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0833…1269 | Yes | 18 | 5.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4bd5…9188 | Yes | 18 | 5.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6d58…3f1c | Yes | 18 | 5.8¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.