Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 562 | 91.9¢ | $523 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,042 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 564 | 8.4¢ | $39 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 21 | 80.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu0x392a…262d | Yes | 65 | 5.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xdc13…1c1e | Yes | 56 | 9.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 40 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 4 outcomes add up to 98.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.