Market · 24 of 30 outcomes
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 15,000 | 0.1¢ | $8 | — |
| YUTGG0xaf75…7e38 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| culpaducimusix0x1b55…c47b | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| Simyi0x1e85…8aaa | Yes | 4,074 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Lvell0x3a60…cc29 | Yes | 3,309 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Pebblethaw0x0238…fe18 | Yes | 2,800 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 2,523 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Freedom-BY0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 725 bets |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 1 | 96.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,703 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,933 bets |
| vw4y346edght5euj0x2fef…12dc | Yes | 1,533 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 66859ftu4ew3qwa3w460x99de…7845 | Yes | 1,533 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| saasfuzk0xb1d8…fd20 | Yes | 1,237 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | Yes | 1,010 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 910 bets |
| 0x95b7…bb85 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Kopyfxsghb0xd63c…3728 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,956 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 863 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 685 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 655 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0000…dead | Yes | 398 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 360 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| Vhykar0x3e8f…f86b | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 250 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| HiroshiTana0xa78d…6b41 | Yes | 245 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 0x502c…3504 | Yes | 225 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 222 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| RexScrat0x78b1…cf6a | Yes | 222 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| xaas0x5d0d…0a2d | Yes | 177 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 154 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| AheadArbitrage0xb14e…fbf8 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 134 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| Palladin0xdcd9…35d4 | Yes | 130 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 119 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 9oo20x83b6…2ce7 | Yes | 101 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5fb7…0068 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 100 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| Cancer50x6467…ace0 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 80 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| beaconhelix0x199c…467a | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0xc04d…611d | No | 0 | 100.4¢ | $0 | — |
| BasisLFG0x1821…a670 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| dolorSuscipit0x23a0…902f | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Eikin0x5762…db46 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| velVoluptates0xc458…d402 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.