Market · 12 of 30 outcomes
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 97.7¢ | $499 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 124 | 99.3¢ | $124 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 11,373 | 0.4¢ | $28 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| rgess0x2c7a…6875 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xd331…482b | No | 9 | 99.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xbda2…1896 | No | 9 | 99.8¢ | $9 | — |
| KING-VIP230xfd66…fb6d | Yes | 3,001 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$16.79 per $100 · 3,414 bets |
| Wayne73400x8b80…ed40 | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Jennifer2120x8132…614c | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0a250x4b5b…0872 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $6 | New78 settled bets |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 2,350 | 0.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| 0x67fb…788f | Yes | 2,136 | 1.7¢ | $5 | New27 settled bets |
| Harold60750x4aa0…9742 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Pano19880x2a79…52cf | Yes | 1,820 | 2.7¢ | $5 | — |
| ClariseStarling0070xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Kent7770x1463…ce78 | Yes | 1,594 | 0.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 242 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 1,588 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x6833…d9e8 | Yes | 1,546 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| chraven0x01f8…6c84 | Yes | 1,528 | 2.7¢ | $4 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 1,048 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 1,000 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| mesmeralda0x048e…6e41 | Yes | 880 | 3.4¢ | $2 | New85 settled bets |
| climateprofessor0x2141…7fa2 | Yes | 812 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| thisBasket0x5fbd…1c65 | No | 2 | 94.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Strongeu960x988f…d86f | No | 2 | 94.8¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 754 | 1.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 653 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Gennedy0xf720…4599 | Yes | 628 | 3.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 606 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| toccodimorte0x8c44…d3ac | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 592 | 2.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| jeyaganeshk0xa0bc…7c8c | Yes | 559 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| intwit0xdbb4…afe9 | Yes | 419 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| shuadan050x9194…e60f | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| bracketwf110x035c…f375 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| quiz-hope0x05ab…f652 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Releaseut910x0dd9…abea | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| existTalent0x138a…6a8e | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Askzn710x1610…63c0 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| bridge-stove-blame0x16ea…6ebf | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| burden-bounce0x1cd9…39bf | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| fineBullet0x2005…a1ff | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| cheap69300x28f5…6fa8 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| fancy07300x3580…53c3 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| tabletf540x3e82…2192 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| leftChaos0x4326…616a | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| purposeFever0x4f59…1d33 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| frequent-forget0x52e1…07c4 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Paymentdutch0x58d8…0473 | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| forum-size-ski0x5bed…b829 | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Enlistyb310x66d8…b0d7 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| alertuk830x6961…96fd | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| fence-axis-addict0x6c81…edb5 | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Better700x6ea5…c361 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lazyxe260x797d…21cb | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| exitTrouble0x7a6b…5a4f | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| medal-unusual0x7e67…df10 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| methoddj730x7f66…88d8 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| rack-autumn-hurt0x9cd4…3135 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Decide-Rocket-October0x9d49…2e1d | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| olympicCastle0xa3dc…2a22 | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| freshai770xad6c…671f | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| super-husband0xbfaa…8ec7 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Parrot-Cinnamon0xc075…bd46 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| all-twice-deposit0xc7aa…19f1 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| exoticor430xd320…1c61 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| quote.urge.scatter0xd689…ed1f | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| driveRug0xdfa2…4937 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| salute.drift.wide0xe18d…b2d0 | No | 1 | 94.8¢ | $1 | — |
| oil7720xf3e8…cf6f | No | 1 | 94.9¢ | $1 | — |
| motorGravity0xf692…d35c | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| left-this-comic0xf9c2…1bbe | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| FreePalpatine0xfe07…d250 | Yes | 330 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 318 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| unitedstatesleader0x9389…711c | Yes | 314 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| mnmnmm0x43e2…c592 | Yes | 310 | 9.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Flobodan0xf710…edc9 | Yes | 295 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 295 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0x19d2…75c7 | Yes | 292 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| hjhjio0x1ee1…b1fa | Yes | 288 | 4.9¢ | $1 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 275 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Eddan0x34ba…5d1e | Yes | 251 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Mmdagha0x4211…acc7 | Yes | 200 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Faston0xa7fe…1f3e | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb35c…9c7f | Yes | 186 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8e6f…67e3 | Yes | 173 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HiroshiTana0xa78d…6b41 | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 163 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AheadArbitrage0xb14e…fbf8 | Yes | 150 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x65d4…491b | Yes | 143 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x703b…2320 | Yes | 143 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 118 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.