Market · 1 of 19 outcomes
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 30,262 | 95.3¢ | $29.4K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | Yes | 26,209 | 95.5¢ | $25.5K | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
| 0xef97…ab2c | Yes | 7,999 | 97.5¢ | $7.77K | — |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | Yes | 5,327 | 97.5¢ | $5.17K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 4,579 | 94.7¢ | $4.45K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| schizohedgehog0x4755…4158 | Yes | 4,014 | 95.5¢ | $3.9K | New63 settled bets |
| ChilliWilly2k40xa086…0b37 | Yes | 2,880 | 95.6¢ | $2.8K | — |
| LukiB0x730d…d448 | Yes | 2,700 | 97.0¢ | $2.62K | New87 settled bets |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 2,000 | 97.0¢ | $1.94K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Yes | 1,100 | 94.9¢ | $1.07K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | Yes | 1,034 | 95.7¢ | $1K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,956 bets |
| milkthedip0x4eee…5841 | Yes | 1,000 | 97.1¢ | $972 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 406 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | Yes | 915 | 96.1¢ | $889 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| cubsy0x5eda…d453 | Yes | 749 | 87.6¢ | $728 | — |
| Tonymountaina0xed8b…7954 | Yes | 693 | 92.7¢ | $673 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No | 20,018 | 3.6¢ | $571 | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| 0xb7c1…675e | Yes | 506 | 91.4¢ | $491 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 160 bets |
| itoney170x9372…3b1a | Yes | 503 | 92.9¢ | $489 | — |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | Yes | 400 | 92.9¢ | $389 | — |
| Blaskinho0xd458…b521 | No | 11,720 | 5.7¢ | $334 | Proven+$8.44 per $100 · 841 bets |
| VGR220x7cbe…c4b7 | No | 11,015 | 3.4¢ | $314 | Positive+$5.90 per $100 · 3,100 bets |
| seafoodcapital0xbb8b…4b1c | Yes | 321 | 91.9¢ | $312 | New19 settled bets |
| onekey-2026-pro0xea01…0abf | Yes | 300 | 95.6¢ | $291 | New4 settled bets |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | No | 10,000 | 4.2¢ | $285 | Losing−$4.34 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| sverrekd0xbf2d…8452 | No | 8,809 | 3.4¢ | $251 | — |
| Dreamer19730x5571…a167 | Yes | 218 | 91.9¢ | $212 | New99 settled bets |
| lucyluck0x9da7…8bb1 | Yes | 201 | 92.6¢ | $195 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | No | 6,782 | 5.4¢ | $193 | Positive+$6.45 per $100 · 7,363 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 183 | 96.6¢ | $178 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| ox01e607d27875e10bb09FcF3309C899a6643136410x01e6…3641 | Yes | 171 | 97.3¢ | $166 | — |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | No | 5,810 | 6.1¢ | $166 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| zaruen0xa3d3…ba8c | No | 4,558 | 6.8¢ | $130 | — |
| regregr0xcbe2…b059 | Yes | 103 | 97.9¢ | $100 | — |
| vadret0xe6d0…5b15 | Yes | 103 | 97.9¢ | $100 | — |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 100 | 92.0¢ | $97 | — |
| KjerstinDellert0x2d1b…5adb | No | 3,170 | 6.4¢ | $90 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 319 bets |
| 0x331b…60c5 | Yes | 90 | 91.2¢ | $87 | — |
| Bageb0x042a…b153 | No | 2,429 | 4.4¢ | $69 | — |
| DrS80x03bc…530c | Yes | 60 | 92.9¢ | $58 | — |
| Tenk19940x7175…ae4e | Yes | 60 | 91.8¢ | $58 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 57 | 97.1¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | No | 1,827 | 8.6¢ | $52 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| 0x525e…c78d | Yes | 54 | 97.3¢ | $52 | — |
| GamGanapati0xbd8a…f9bd | Yes | 40 | 93.2¢ | $39 | Proven+$2.75 per $100 · 820 bets |
| 0xc997…26f6 | Yes | 40 | 95.6¢ | $39 | New0 settled bets |
| clave0x7093…a919 | No | 1,360 | 5.6¢ | $39 | — |
| Socialista0xfa01…f0a7 | No | 1,269 | 7.0¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.52 per $100 · 7,515 bets |
| yetiyetiyeti0x9cfc…3671 | Yes | 31 | 97.3¢ | $30 | — |
| Jopol0xfde5…676c | No | 1,000 | 6.3¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xf61a…2da0 | Yes | 26 | 96.2¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x2393…0bba | Yes | 26 | 95.9¢ | $25 | — |
| Runner1090x6a67…df6f | Yes | 20 | 96.5¢ | $19 | Positive+$2.00 per $100 · 667 bets |
| bobbet0x755d…6acc | Yes | 20 | 92.7¢ | $19 | — |
| GGbondCC0xe5ed…a4f5 | Yes | 20 | 93.3¢ | $19 | — |
| Domam0xebb7…ac1d | Yes | 19 | 94.7¢ | $18 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 574 | 3.2¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| mydevin0xaa3d…ce21 | Yes | 16 | 94.9¢ | $15 | — |
| m3tuna0x4f9e…9aa0 | Yes | 15 | 97.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Jydyjyd0x1c4c…8d85 | No | 500 | 3.3¢ | $14 | — |
| mrdonaldo0xa284…fbba | No | 500 | 9.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$5.76 per $100 · 543 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 475 | 3.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Bank.of.America0xe461…9a34 | Yes | 14 | 97.9¢ | $13 | Losing−$6.73 per $100 · 678 bets |
| lebakaspeppi0x7e23…7896 | Yes | 12 | 97.8¢ | $12 | — |
| ceshi88888880x7820…d3c2 | Yes | 11 | 97.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 11 | 97.6¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| l5wrGYrLGv0xb5c4…cb3b | Yes | 11 | 97.9¢ | $10 | — |
| StillWater00x7bab…8322 | No | 346 | 2.7¢ | $10 | — |
| qur1l0x5b5f…d5b2 | No | 300 | 5.0¢ | $9 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 294 | 2.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xd473…a606 | Yes | 7 | 94.1¢ | $7 | — |
| ssask0x8aeb…b9fd | No | 214 | 3.4¢ | $6 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 202 | 9.3¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| anthonyttw0x9c46…3e74 | No | 180 | 3.3¢ | $5 | — |
| SilentDovePath0x7e35…7776 | No | 177 | 3.2¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 175 | 5.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| BlueMesaScout0xda7e…37ab | No | 164 | 3.3¢ | $5 | New89 settled bets |
| Ribot0x25d6…e5e9 | No | 158 | 3.4¢ | $5 | — |
| romanew-2s0x68cc…78e0 | No | 143 | 6.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x967d…2b2a | No | 123 | 8.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 111 | 13.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| Johnsinus0x994a…b5f9 | No | 103 | 9.2¢ | $3 | — |
| bLp7qT9M2Rk0xc517…f390 | No | 101 | 3.3¢ | $3 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 100 | 13.5¢ | $3 | — |
| WaterFloww0x5040…96cf | No | 100 | 3.7¢ | $3 | — |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | No | 88 | 3.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| trumpinoo0xaf6d…f13b | No | 78 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 67 | 4.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| ShadowVorcaro0x201c…6bfe | No | 50 | 8.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4fbc…a244 | No | 31 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 31 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0x4da4…ffa1 | No | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 21 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6d84…4c02 | No | 19 | 5.7¢ | $1 | — |
| emv0000x0b06…b0ff | No | 13 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | No | 12 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | No | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 5 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 3 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | No | 1 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.