Market · 43 of 46 outcomes
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 07:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 735 | 95.7¢ | $708 | New69 settled bets |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | No | 195 | 74.9¢ | $187 | — |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 22 | 92.7¢ | $21 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 484 | 4.2¢ | $18 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Stefnc0xd515…2c54 | No | 10 | 97.3¢ | $10 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 129 | 5.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 114 | 8.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,579+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 80 | 7.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 67 | 12.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 2 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| YesManLucky380x91e2…3c51 | No | 1 | 89.9¢ | $1 | — |
| qjilala0x2bc0…4a48 | Yes | 28 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| madragent0x7bc3…513b | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 1 | 86.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 20 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| buur0x94e4…6be5 | Yes | 20 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TerranSupremacy0x4916…f56f | Yes | 15 | 17.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.59 per $100 · 8,855 bets |
| 36dgfdgdgdg0x5314…5db9 | Yes | 4 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 94.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 1 | 19.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 1 | 15.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,090 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 1 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 0 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | 0 | 14.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe795…6879 | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.