Market · 9 of 15 outcomes
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | No | 700 | 95.3¢ | $661 | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| heyocopytraders0x37b0…3646 | No | 77 | 33.5¢ | $73 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| BISTURI0x22e4…66e5 |
| No |
| 50 |
| 94.5¢ |
| $47 |
| — |
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | No | 50 | 94.0¢ | $47 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| Andromaque3990xeea7…d491 | No | 30 | 95.5¢ | $28 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 395 | 5.4¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 138 | 2.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 116 | 11.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,761+ bets · updating |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 109 | 4.8¢ | $6 | — |
| QMINE0x31bc…c2d0 | No | 6 | 55.0¢ | $6 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 70 | 72.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 7.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x3231…07c2 | No | 3 | 86.9¢ | $2 | — |
| romanew-7-spread050x8d0c…e1ce | No | 2 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xaaa0…dea3 | Yes | 31 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BasileEmperor0x74dc…2762 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 10 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 1 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
|