Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
17 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key2220xa47f…e18d | No | 50,000 | 35.0¢ | $15.4K | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | Yes | 20,850 | 65.9¢ | $14.4K | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | Yes | 15,982 | 65.3¢ | $11.1K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | Yes | 13,776 | 65.9¢ | $9.53K | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 2,736 bets |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | Yes | 11,111 | 21.7¢ | $7.68K | — |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 10,485 | 67.5¢ | $7.25K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 9,930 | 52.2¢ | $6.87K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| Rumpelstiltskin0xfb1b…a11d | Yes | 9,510 | 68.2¢ | $6.58K | — |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 7,355 | 69.6¢ | $5.09K | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| iForgor0x0562…9d66 | Yes | 7,000 | 66.0¢ | $4.84K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,122 bets |
| 0xbc3e…6693 | No | 13,202 | 27.4¢ | $4.07K | — |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | Yes | 5,121 | 62.6¢ | $3.54K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 4,993 | 73.2¢ | $3.45K | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 4,844 | 64.3¢ | $3.35K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 2,451 bets |
| PermanentUnderclass0x1f18…bf24 | Yes | 4,806 | 63.6¢ | $3.32K | — |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 4,669 | 60.9¢ | $3.23K | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 4,570 | 68.6¢ | $3.16K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | Yes | 4,500 | 70.0¢ | $3.11K | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,736 bets |
| Albedo000x160d…6f25 | Yes | 4,285 | 64.9¢ | $2.96K | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| Hashbrown0xa52b…9480 | Yes | 4,001 | 66.4¢ | $2.77K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 1,115 bets |
| MineYours0xe096…be8e | Yes | 3,804 | 9.0¢ | $2.63K | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 3,615 | 3.1¢ | $2.5K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 3,517 | 66.3¢ | $2.43K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| jtradegbr0x2bc7…e411 | Yes | 3,410 | 68.2¢ | $2.36K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 2,136 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 3,390 | 48.4¢ | $2.34K | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | Yes | 3,305 | 59.8¢ | $2.29K | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Yes | 3,295 | 57.3¢ | $2.28K | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| moonlight20200x407d…1bae | Yes | 3,055 | 66.5¢ | $2.11K | Proven+$3.85 per $100 · 319 bets |
| xingaze0x325f…8e0e | Yes | 2,541 | 68.7¢ | $1.76K | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 2,500 | 21.5¢ | $1.73K | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| cym19690x68a7…f49a | Yes | 2,300 | 37.0¢ | $1.59K | — |
| 0xa277…1182 | Yes | 2,125 | 65.8¢ | $1.47K | — |
| chicanery.0xa8c2…b635 | Yes | 2,025 | 68.4¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 2,002 | 65.2¢ | $1.38K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| Sylvester.the.Cat0x0f2b…665a | Yes | 2,000 | 60.0¢ | $1.38K | Proven+$7.28 per $100 · 118 bets |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 2,000 | 71.0¢ | $1.38K | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| qfwdsd10x00cb…e987 | Yes | 1,970 | 65.2¢ | $1.36K | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 2,952 bets |
| mangaloes0xa043…3e9e | Yes | 1,904 | 37.2¢ | $1.32K | — |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | Yes | 1,862 | 58.7¢ | $1.29K | Proven+$10.80 per $100 · 1,660 bets |
| bleed10xa27f…0ce8 | Yes | 1,862 | 13.0¢ | $1.29K | — |
| gelugon0x75d3…de26 | Yes | 1,856 | 71.9¢ | $1.28K | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 1,802 | 13.7¢ | $1.25K | — |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 1,798 | 74.8¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | No | 4,000 | 31.1¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 1,700 | 65.9¢ | $1.18K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
| grandvalira0x53c4…9522 | Yes | 1,694 | 7.2¢ | $1.17K | — |
| lamyk0xc004…c095 | Yes | 1,582 | 14.0¢ | $1.09K | — |
| 0xfcef…9499 | Yes | 1,524 | 66.5¢ | $1.05K | — |
| ultra-poverty0x810f…57aa | Yes | 1,500 | 69.2¢ | $1.04K | — |
| rando123450xb401…df2a | Yes | 1,445 | 70.6¢ | $999 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 561 bets |
| michaelSlasher0x6fa1…1f74 | Yes | 1,401 | 64.5¢ | $969 | Proven+$10.95 per $100 · 208 bets |
| polzpockz0xb52d…f61f | No | 3,074 | 26.8¢ | $948 | — |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | 1,110 | 7.5¢ | $768 | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
| 050050x9afe…062a | Yes | 1,103 | 72.8¢ | $763 | — |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 2,042 | 92.7¢ | $630 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| ElsaMi0x9653…4228 | No | 1,600 | 39.0¢ | $494 | — |
| 10249019290xea82…5ba6 | No | 1,466 | 34.8¢ | $452 | — |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 650 | 67.0¢ | $449 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,307 bets |
| G8RQxf3vBMVT0xa2da…81c3 | No | 1,431 | 35.9¢ | $441 | — |
| Trebushev0x0d13…a01b | No | 1,170 | 32.1¢ | $361 | — |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | No | 1,099 | 32.2¢ | $339 | — |
| h0385960273550x88b6…3cff | No | 1,000 | 32.1¢ | $309 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 740 bets |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | No | 1,000 | 25.7¢ | $309 | New45 settled bets |
| healggy0xe089…bedd | No | 819 | 37.6¢ | $253 | — |
| speculativefire0x54e3…f2fd | No | 724 | 35.4¢ | $223 | — |
| K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE0xa68b…c4b4 | No | 600 | 34.2¢ | $185 | — |
| 0xe784…b2fb | No | 570 | 36.0¢ | $176 | — |
| Kretos0x1d7f…017b | No | 544 | 31.1¢ | $168 | — |
| tigertest10x73bd…ac54 | No | 520 | 29.0¢ | $160 | — |
| soupdumplin0x59b8…11a5 | No | 500 | 91.4¢ | $154 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 500 | 41.2¢ | $154 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 494 | 49.7¢ | $152 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| No-897570x37a1…6691 | No | 415 | 32.5¢ | $128 | — |
| Lazarus690x7a3d…90e6 | No | 408 | 28.8¢ | $126 | — |
| ghostviolet0x3da6…9ac4 | No | 395 | 34.7¢ | $122 | — |
| poposub0x3d7d…10fc | No | 393 | 36.6¢ | $121 | — |
| samuv0x9457…95a9 | No | 378 | 27.2¢ | $117 | — |
| Flaner0x585b…753f | No | 347 | 28.0¢ | $107 | — |
| Cryptokatkat0x4653…c05b | No | 331 | 91.0¢ | $102 | — |
| 0x55b5…fbd4 | No | 312 | 31.9¢ | $96 | — |
| ChairmanFed0x8369…f584 | No | 209 | 31.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$23.92 per $100 · 794 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 200 | 28.4¢ | $62 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Nobdbs0x06a0…10ac | No | 193 | 26.7¢ | $60 | — |
| 0xb0e5…aa4c | No | 185 | 29.6¢ | $57 | — |
| pavook0x11df…5fee | No | 174 | 33.1¢ | $54 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 174 | 33.8¢ | $54 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| sewss0x10cd…1094 | No | 166 | 30.9¢ | $51 | — |
| telosintel0x96e5…1d85 | No | 150 | 90.2¢ | $46 | — |
| chenyajun0xc497…f8a2 | No | 150 | 38.9¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xf93c…faaf | No | 142 | 37.6¢ | $44 | — |
| dhfhhfjf0x333f…3cd6 | No | 125 | 31.8¢ | $39 | — |
| 0x4ba5…501b | No | 118 | 41.1¢ | $36 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 117 | 31.6¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 105 | 31.2¢ | $32 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,931 bets |
| liuxb19980x4514…b502 | No | 100 | 92.5¢ | $31 | — |
| drip00x7479…fbec | No | 100 | 29.1¢ | $31 | Proven+$7.59 per $100 · 369 bets |
| beefdeg0xee98…113d | No | 100 | 26.0¢ | $31 | — |
| PredictionPuppy0x23d1…743a | No | 100 | 34.8¢ | $31 | — |
| shikonglizi0x0b04…7aaa | No | 99 | 92.5¢ | $31 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.