Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,276 | 52.1¢ | $5.92K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| lisra0xfc76…0ad0 | No | 5,043 | 48.6¢ | $2.4K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 |
| Yes |
| 2,749 |
| 55.0¢ |
| $1.44K |
| Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 1,795 | 46.3¢ | $943 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 1,641 | 51.7¢ | $862 | — |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 1,373 | 23.8¢ | $721 | Proven+$9.78 per $100 · 302 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 1,070 | 12.3¢ | $562 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 1,000 | 53.0¢ | $525 | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| tigertest10x73bd…ac54 | No | 995 | 47.8¢ | $473 | — |
| chennw0xe57f…b61a | No | 800 | 46.9¢ | $380 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 680 | 57.2¢ | $357 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 645 | 48.3¢ | $306 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| 050050x9afe…062a | Yes | 540 | 54.0¢ | $283 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 538 | 45.0¢ | $256 | — |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 430 | 48.0¢ | $226 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| 0xc9a90290332fa3ea9885f1e2ce466e6baf0c2930xb8a9…2948 | Yes | 424 | 13.0¢ | $222 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 447 | 46.0¢ | $212 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 306 | 48.6¢ | $161 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 300 | 51.2¢ | $158 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 317 | 48.3¢ | $150 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 420B1370xb4fb…7f7b | No | 289 | 46.0¢ | $137 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 255 | 48.3¢ | $121 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 200 | 54.0¢ | $105 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 200 | 2.9¢ | $105 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| samuv0x9457…95a9 | No | 213 | 48.0¢ | $101 | — |
| qfwdsd10x00cb…e987 | Yes | 182 | 53.0¢ | $96 | Losing−$4.68 per $100 · 2,952 bets |
| 0x1cc7…68e7 | No | 200 | 49.0¢ | $95 | — |
| 8dcc906a9b0xdbd0…8c1c | Yes | 175 | 48.0¢ | $92 | Losing−$19.90 per $100 · 244 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | No | 150 | 45.7¢ | $71 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| Nobdbs0x06a0…10ac | No | 130 | 47.0¢ | $62 | — |
| kotyakayebaka0xefe9…b8ec | Yes | 97 | 47.4¢ | $51 | — |
| kavka990x4199…169e | No | 100 | 55.0¢ | $48 | — |
| weegoup0xf5ef…7761 | No | 85 | 61.0¢ | $40 | — |
| HP-f-MOR0x21fc…578b | No | 82 | 48.8¢ | $39 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 78 | 51.7¢ | $37 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 70 | 56.9¢ | $37 | — |
| thekleenex0x818c…a500 | No | 77 | 40.0¢ | $37 | — |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 69 | 51.7¢ | $36 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 75 | 51.0¢ | $36 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 23,888 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 64 | 8.2¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | Yes | 60 | 38.9¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 259 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 64 | 50.7¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 50 | 46.0¢ | $26 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| 0x2fd7…6b97 | Yes | 50 | 10.4¢ | $26 | — |
| pizdi.bolyu0x27b9…90d0 | Yes | 48 | 45.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$10.49 per $100 · 1,464 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 50 | 54.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| 0x29ef…ddda | No | 50 | 53.0¢ | $24 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 50 | 56.0¢ | $24 | — |
| Miguel2621440x2df5…51ac | No | 44 | 45.0¢ | $21 | Proven+$4.12 per $100 · 9,181 bets |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 33 | 46.0¢ | $18 | — |
| geylord200x5937…11da | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $18 | New78 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 32 | 51.7¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 31 | 6.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 31 | 55.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| eliot.pitcher0x643d…248a | No | 26 | 47.0¢ | $12 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 24 | 49.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0xc42a…1cb8 | No | 24 | 41.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Hannah-Montana0x521b…db60 | Yes | 20 | 34.9¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | 20 | 53.0¢ | $11 | — |
| RewardsProduction0x581e…1526 | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $10 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| ArsAmatoria0x3af8…e603 | Yes | 10 | 52.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | Yes | 10 | 51.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| 67xxabcsdafasdf0x779d…267c | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 59.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 48.0¢ | $5 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $5 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $5 | — |
| gendan120x4a90…c7c5 | Yes | 9 | 54.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 573 bets |
| imdad260x6005…16e6 | Yes | 8 | 49.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 8 | 45.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| 0xf65a…d772 | Yes | 7 | 60.0¢ | $4 | — |
| newbiejjh0x17bd…6550 | Yes | 5 | 55.0¢ | $3 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 5 | 58.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 5 | 53.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| 0x864e…f9f6 | Yes | 4 | 54.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 4 | 95.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | No | 4 | 46.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.24 per $100 · 20,574 bets |
| 5775maimia0xc0fd…f75d | Yes | 4 | 58.0¢ | $2 | — |
| postmeta0x2987…8512 | No | 2 | 45.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 792 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 2 | 49.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,566 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 1 | 55.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| 0xf22b…7eab | No | 1 | 37.9¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 1 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
|