Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bleed10xa27f…0ce8 | Yes | 1,068 | 17.5¢ | $762 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 470 | 42.2¢ | $335 | — |
| 0xa277…1182 | Yes | 427 | 65.0¢ | $305 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 412 | 3.1¢ | $294 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,944 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 337 | 10.2¢ | $240 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 289 | 68.7¢ | $206 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 217 | 63.1¢ | $155 | — |
| vtx0x6718…e623 | Yes | 211 | 73.0¢ | $150 | Proven+$11.91 per $100 · 142 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 200 | 72.7¢ | $143 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| KiruaTrading0xa7d2…f954 | Yes | 170 | 42.5¢ | $121 | — |
| ksass0x740d…f262 | Yes | 152 | 8.6¢ | $109 | — |
| NoTeacher0xcb48…be6d | Yes | 60 | 72.2¢ | $43 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 122 | 35.5¢ | $35 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 115 | 37.9¢ | $33 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 42 | 41.1¢ | $30 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 33 | 68.9¢ | $23 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 32 | 67.4¢ | $23 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 25 | 12.0¢ | $18 | — |
| olivia890x19c8…3458 | Yes | 24 | 68.8¢ | $17 | — |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 24 | 10.5¢ | $17 | — |
| SIMOMEGA0x9fc9…cde1 | Yes | 21 | 75.4¢ | $15 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 49 | 28.6¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 19 | 67.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 16 | 70.7¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 40 | 80.7¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 7figtc0x6a90…c2e3 | No | 40 | 35.0¢ | $11 | — |
| mccormickalejandro0xda43…a260 | Yes | 15 | 58.5¢ | $11 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 29 | 32.0¢ | $8 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 20 | 31.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 19 | 93.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Norso210x17fc…caf4 | Yes | 7 | 71.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.73 per $100 · 530 bets |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | Yes | 5 | 10.0¢ | $4 | — |
| fubar90x0762…8e99 | Yes | 5 | 6.4¢ | $4 | — |
| amecandy-x0x2c0b…8ab6 | Yes | 5 | 68.0¢ | $4 | — |
| agentcal0x42b7…abff | Yes | 5 | 71.1¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,595 bets |
| 0xa413…6c4a | Yes | 5 | 65.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.29 per $100 · 445 bets |
| napamen0x8494…814a | No | 12 | 88.9¢ | $3 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 29.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 30.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 30.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 10 | 31.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 10 | 47.4¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,341 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 9 | 53.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 9 | 9.8¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| PPPPPN0x2216…9e86 | No | 7 | 30.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 5 | 81.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Serega-pro0xcfb5…7d2d | Yes | 2 | 65.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x93fa…5bdb | No | 3 | 35.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 1 | 10.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ind1f0x8dca…ab5a | No | 2 | 42.1¢ | $1 | — |
| rumbam0xf3d3…ad06 | No | 2 | 45.4¢ | $1 | — |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | Yes | 1 | 70.6¢ | $1 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | No | 2 | 29.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 1 | 25.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 0 | 85.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 0 | 35.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 0 | 62.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 25.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 88.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,132 bets |
| 0x233b…1f2c | Yes | 0 | 75.6¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.