Market · 2 of 20 outcomes
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 2,136 | 45.8¢ | $1.31K | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| Investnow0x97f3…0eba | Yes | 774 | 46.6¢ | $298 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 |
| Yes |
| 480 |
| 30.2¢ |
| $185 |
| — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 447 | 42.8¢ | $172 | — |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 359 | 38.5¢ | $138 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | 342 | 56.0¢ | $132 | — |
| webot-ai0xc2a5…0ce9 | No | 187 | 49.2¢ | $115 | New25 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 134 | 34.8¢ | $83 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | Yes | 215 | 34.9¢ | $83 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 125 | 61.1¢ | $77 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 164 | 41.2¢ | $63 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu0xc326…1db1 | Yes | 158 | 28.2¢ | $61 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 140 | 42.1¢ | $54 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 75 | 33.0¢ | $46 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | Yes | 100 | 51.0¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xc250…4faf | No | 55 | 52.0¢ | $34 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 75 | 56.0¢ | $29 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 61.0¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 60 | 52.3¢ | $23 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 60 | 40.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| SlayerH0x17e4…4d33 | Yes | 60 | 58.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$7.61 per $100 · 480 bets |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| nzrod0xa5ce…2fa6 | No | 27 | 59.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x8df9…468c | Yes | 41 | 42.0¢ | $16 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | 25 | 41.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x13e1…0805 | No | 20 | 58.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 14 | 75.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| 56fgh4j15g0x00b5…1b11 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| d5fg2df4g0x0657…2b79 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 65fg156df0x0d4d…4a9d | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| gh561f0x13eb…a4e6 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| gf1n0gh50x31ec…d394 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 63f1g63df0x4dbc…9fea | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| fgb23f1g0b0x6b67…3998 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | Yes | 20 | 57.0¢ | $8 | — |
| asfui8j90x9771…605e | Yes | 20 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| g65hf165fg30xbc0e…3c0f | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| gh58n1gf5h60xf79e…e434 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 49.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| lightsout9120x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | 18 | 28.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4eb3…9858 | Yes | 16 | 62.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 10 | 58.5¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Kobiz0xab66…e7af | Yes | 14 | 73.8¢ | $5 | — |
| NoTeacher0xcb48…be6d | Yes | 13 | 36.9¢ | $5 | — |
| pm-my-auto0xd347…b528 | No | 7 | 35.9¢ | $4 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 11 | 46.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 561gh56fd0x002d…47a2 | Yes | 10 | 55.0¢ | $4 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| kab19ddd12ab0xf845…c785 | Yes | 10 | 49.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 56.0¢ | $3 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,343 bets |
| 0xa837…34ea | Yes | 6 | 29.8¢ | $2 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 6 | 34.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| easyautomate0xd069…d078 | Yes | 5 | 20.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | 5 | 28.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xd717…3b85 | Yes | 5 | 2.9¢ | $2 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 3 | 64.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 3 | 61.0¢ | $2 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 2 | 58.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Landinster0xced6…2dc1 | No | 2 | 38.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5045…0f2e | Yes | 3 | 62.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 2 | 69.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 3 | 43.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| Respire0x604a…14f4 | Yes | 3 | 35.9¢ | $1 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | No | 2 | 37.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 2 | 36.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | No | 0 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 49.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Laribobibo0x721a…9295 | No | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 0 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 23 shares each side · Show
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